NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	92		Excitement	8.0 [202]		MVP	Danny Manning (UTA): +16.2%
Utah Jazz	97		Comeback	3.6 [656]		LVP	Michael Olowokandi (LAC): -24.7%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff McInnis	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.12	0.01	0.10	-0.01	19	50%	0.14	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Eric Piatkowski	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.04	-0.03	0.06	-0.01	6	56%	0.09	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.09
Cherokee Parks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.01	7	71%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	64%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zendon Hamilton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Sean Rooks	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.10	-0.01	4	60%	-0.01	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Lamar Odom	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.15,-0.12,-0.16,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	13	50%	-0.02	4	-0.13	12	83%	0.05
Michael Olowokandi	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.25,-0.25	-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	10	33%	-0.04	3	-0.21	4	50%	-0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.01	0.14	-0.01	7	61%	0.18	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0.05	0.05	-0.04	0.08	-0.00	10	50%	0.10	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
John Stockton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.02	6	71%	0.25	4	-0.22	5	80%	0.03
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	23	61%	0.10	3	-0.07	10	80%	-0.02
David Benoit	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	6	50%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	8	55%	-0.01	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	5	27%	-0.05	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	2.3	27.1	15.6	26.2	1.8	39.0	139.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +52.2%

LAC -31.4%

UTA +3.8%

UTA +11.1%

UTA +14.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	UTA	NBA	LAC	UTA	NBA
this game	15.6	15.4	15.5	98.9	104.3	100.9
season	16.1	16.0		99.5	105.3
opponent	15.5	15.5		100.5	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.4	15.6	17.2	14.2	15.6
UTA	15.9	13.7	17.0	15.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	57	60	0.20	-0.70	0.89	-0.04	8	-13	21	16.0	14.8	1.23	15.9	14.4	1.53
Zendon Hamilton	20	20	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-5	5	16.0	15.4	0.56	14.4	15.7	-1.28
Cherokee Parks	34	32	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.13	-5	0	-5	16.0	15.3	0.65	14.9	15.7	-0.72
Keyon Dooling	37	35	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-6	7	14.8	16.0	-1.20	14.6	15.9	-1.25
Michael Olowokandi	62	62	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-3	1	16.4	13.9	2.53	15.5	15.1	0.42
Jeff McInnis	82	82	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.25	-2	-3	1	15.7	14.3	1.46	15.2	16.6	-1.39
Sean Rooks	31	32	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.32	-4	-1	-3	14.2	16.2	-2.00	14.8	15.7	-0.86
Eric Piatkowski	48	48	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.27	-6	1	-7	15.6	15.6	0.01	15.2	15.6	-0.37
Darius Miles	48	49	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.44	-4	-1	-3	15.1	16.0	-0.85	15.9	14.8	1.12
Quentin Richardson	46	45	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.29	-11	6	-17	14.9	16.2	-1.24	16.2	14.7	1.53

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Manning	36	34	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.42	15	-10	25	15.2	15.6	-0.39	13.7	16.6	-2.87
John Stockton	58	58	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.34	13	-8	21	14.1	17.6	-3.56	15.7	15.3	0.35
Karl Malone	78	78	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.46	3	2	1	15.0	17.3	-2.29	16.1	12.6	3.53
John Starks	59	59	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.38	3	2	1	15.4	15.4	-0.00	14.6	17.3	-2.69
Bryon Russell	73	71	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.33	-1	6	-7	14.8	17.7	-2.98	16.5	12.4	4.19
Donyell Marshall	54	55	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.00	8	-3	11	16.3	14.2	2.07	15.5	15.6	-0.08
David Benoit	0	1	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	5	-5	0.0	15.4	-15.41	5.0	15.7	-10.67
Olden Polynice	38	40	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.08	1	4	-3	14.7	15.9	-1.18	15.7	15.5	0.20
Jacque Vaughn	35	35	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.01	-8	13	-21	17.6	14.1	3.56	15.3	15.7	-0.35
Greg Ostertag	34	34	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.10	-9	14	-23	17.3	14.3	2.97	15.9	15.3	0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.6,0.46,0.68,0.54,0.55,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 93, NYK 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.72,0.77,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.41,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.41,0.53,0.4,0.47,0.36,0.43,0.85,1	91.6%
TOR 107, DET 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.24,0.29,0.44,0.26,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.76,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.57,0.85,1	91.3%
LAC 93, DEN 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.38,0.35,0.52,0.4,0.56,0.5,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.37,0.53,0.47,0.73,0.68,0.79,0.71,0.73,1	91.2%