NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	107		Excitement	8.3 [276]		MVP	Andre Drummond (DET): +25.8%
Detroit Pistons	110		Comeback	3.3 [404]		LVP	Bruce Brown (DET): -6.5%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.1	0.18	-0.03	0.05	21	66%	0.12	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.07
OG Anunoby	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.03	0.05	-0.04	7	53%	0.14	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lin	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	4	37%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	8	59%	0.10	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.07,0.04	0.10	-0.05	0.00	10	77%	0.21	2	-0.17	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Green	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	9	67%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	13	46%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Moreland	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick McCaw	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	7	56%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.09	0.17	0.00	8	71%	0.28	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.09
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.06	0.00	7	69%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.00	6	73%	0.16	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.03
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.05	-0.03	21	53%	0.17	5	-0.10	5	60%	-0.02
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.1,0.01,0.03	0.03	0.13	-0.06	0.04	10	69%	0.03	0	0.00	9	89%	0.03
Thon Maker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	54%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.00	10	45%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	9	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.5	21.3	15.0	29.2	2.4	36.6	135.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR -21.1%

DET +27.6%

DET +25.9%

DET +17.2%

DET +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	DET	NBA	TOR	DET	NBA
this game	14.9	16.0	14.3	115.1	118.3	109.3
season	14.3	15.3		111.5	107.5
opponent	14.0	14.5		109.0	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.1	16.0	14.6	15.1	14.9
DET	17.2	14.0	17.5	15.5	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lin	33	35	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.06	1	-4	5	15.7	14.5	1.16	14.3	17.0	-2.69
Danny Green	58	59	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.30	8	-11	19	14.2	16.1	-1.92	16.4	15.3	1.15
Kawhi Leonard	70	72	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.39	11	-14	25	14.4	16.5	-2.04	16.3	15.0	1.32
Patrick McCaw	19	18	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	1	-5	16.5	14.5	1.99	15.1	16.3	-1.20
Marc Gasol	70	72	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.46	12	-15	27	14.4	16.5	-2.04	16.5	14.4	2.06
OG Anunoby	35	33	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	2	-7	16.2	14.2	2.01	16.2	15.9	0.20
Norman Powell	35	34	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	8	-19	16.1	14.2	1.92	15.3	16.4	-1.15
Eric Moreland	21	19	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.03	-16	13	-29	16.6	14.5	2.16	14.2	16.5	-2.28
Fred VanVleet	60	58	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.36	-4	1	-5	14.5	15.7	-1.16	17.0	14.3	2.69
Pascal Siakam	64	65	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.45	-7	4	-11	14.3	16.3	-1.93	15.9	16.3	-0.38

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Langston Galloway	56	56	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.42	11	-8	19	14.9	17.7	-2.75	14.9	14.9	0.00
Blake Griffin	64	62	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.43	-2	5	-7	16.2	15.7	0.43	14.5	15.8	-1.24
Zaza Pachulia	23	24	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	-6	15	18.0	15.4	2.57	16.0	14.6	1.36
Ish Smith	42	45	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.05	11	-8	19	17.0	15.2	1.83	15.4	14.5	0.97
Wayne Ellington	51	49	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.27	0	3	-3	16.6	15.4	1.21	14.9	15.0	-0.15
Thon Maker	35	36	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.16	3	0	3	14.7	16.8	-2.05	15.2	14.8	0.40
Reggie Jackson	51	48	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.46	-8	11	-19	15.2	17.0	-1.83	14.5	15.4	-0.97
Andre Drummond	67	67	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.27	-7	10	-17	15.3	18.0	-2.69	14.4	16.4	-2.05
Luke Kennard	48	50	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	2	-1	17.0	15.0	1.98	16.2	13.4	2.80
Bruce Brown	28	28	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	6	-9	17.1	15.6	1.50	13.9	15.4	-1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.24,0.29,0.44,0.26,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.76,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.57,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 89, CLE 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.57,0.71,0.67,0.39,0.29,0.67,0.74,1	91.8%
LAC 92, UTA 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.6,0.46,0.68,0.54,0.55,0.73,1	91.3%
DAL 90, SAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.55,0.35,0.21,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.43,0.62,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.46,0.55,0.92,1	91.2%