NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	90		Excitement	7.2 [362]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +29.7%
San Antonio Spurs	94		Comeback	3.8 [409]		LVP	Jose Juan Barea (DAL): -25.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.30	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.3	0.16	0.14	0.01	23	65%	0.39	2	-0.09	8	100%	0.07
Brendan Haywood	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	9	37%	-0.00	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.05	-0.00	6	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Erick Dampier	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.11	0.04	-0.13	0.02	15	53%	-0.06	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jose Juan Barea	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.26,-0.26	0.01	-0.26	0.00	13	54%	-0.07	2	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0.12,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.13	0.03	16	62%	0.24	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Manu Ginobili	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.04,0.06,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.10	-0.01	0.10	0.00	12	47%	0.13	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.04
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.01	-0.02	-0.05	16	46%	0.04	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.01	3	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Roger Mason Jr.	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.01	18	60%	0.17	5	-0.20	6	50%	-0.03
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.06	0.01	5	60%	0.00	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	3.7	35.0	18.5	27.4	3.7	39.4	153.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +37.5%

SAS +0.2%

DAL -9.9%

SAS +22.3%

DAL -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SAS	NBA	DAL	SAS	NBA
this game	17.1	16.8	15.3	105.9	110.6	106.0
season	15.2	15.9		107.2	108.2
opponent	15.1	15.5		103.4	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	17.1	16.1	16.6	18.5	17.1
SAS	15.6	19.9	17.7	14.3	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodrigue Beaubois	10	11	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.08	2	-6	8	15.2	17.4	-2.16	14.9	17.1	-2.14
Eduardo Najera	7	7	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-5	6	14.9	17.3	-2.45	16.6	16.8	-0.22
Erick Dampier	49	48	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-2	0	17.0	17.3	-0.35	16.7	16.9	-0.20
Jason Terry	63	64	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.43	9	-13	22	16.7	18.3	-1.64	17.3	15.2	2.04
Caron Butler	27	27	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.06	-8	4	-12	16.9	17.2	-0.26	17.1	16.6	0.54
Dirk Nowitzki	73	73	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-3	2	17.4	15.5	1.87	16.8	16.9	-0.16
Jose Juan Barea	56	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.43	2	-6	8	17.3	16.8	0.47	16.5	17.3	-0.76
Brendan Haywood	31	32	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.40	0	-4	4	17.2	17.1	0.14	16.0	17.2	-1.20
Jason Kidd	79	78	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.26	-6	2	-8	17.3	14.7	2.62	17.0	14.3	2.71
Shawn Marion	30	29	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.07	-17	13	-30	18.0	16.6	1.43	17.0	16.7	0.34

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manu Ginobili	64	64	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.37	8	-4	12	16.5	17.7	-1.25	17.1	17.1	0.01
Tim Duncan	76	77	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.31	7	-3	10	16.7	17.6	-0.87	17.3	14.9	2.46
George Hill	80	79	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.43	2	2	0	16.8	16.4	0.40	17.0	18.5	-1.50
Richard Jefferson	55	58	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.09	11	-7	18	16.2	17.8	-1.53	17.4	16.5	0.92
Antonio McDyess	55	54	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.30	-3	7	-10	17.0	16.4	0.58	17.8	15.9	1.94
Matt Bonner	26	26	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	0	4	17.2	16.6	0.54	16.0	17.6	-1.54
Roger Mason Jr.	2	2	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.04	4	0	4	19.0	16.7	2.28	22.5	17.0	5.52
Tony Parker	59	58	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.35	-12	16	-28	16.9	16.5	0.34	16.4	18.6	-2.12
DeJuan Blair	8	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	5	-6	19.6	16.5	3.14	15.9	17.2	-1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.55,0.35,0.21,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.43,0.62,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.46,0.55,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 107, DET 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.24,0.29,0.44,0.26,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.76,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.57,0.85,1	91.2%
PHX 94, POR 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.26,0.34,0.47,0.63,0.83,0.8,0.6,0.69,0.54,0.55,0.92,1	90.7%
UTA 97, LAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.5,0.51,0.66,0.71,0.63,0.53,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.54,0.68,0.9,1	90.4%