NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	93		Excitement	10.0 [50]		MVP	Quentin Richardson (LAC): +46.5%
Denver Nuggets	96		Comeback	4.8 [306]		LVP	Eric Piatkowski (LAC): -34.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0.47	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.47	0.14	0.32	-0.00	16	72%	0.51	1	-0.05	4	50%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.11	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Darius Miles	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	14	44%	0.02	1	-0.05	4	50%	0.02
Elton Brand	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	13	52%	-0.00	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.00
Sean Rooks	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	5	29%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Jeff McInnis	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.22	-0.09	-0.13	0.00	11	36%	-0.07	3	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.28	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.22,-0.28	-0.06	-0.22	-0.00	9	45%	-0.15	2	-0.13	4	50%	-0.04
Eric Piatkowski	-0.34	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.34	-0.12	-0.23	-0.01	5	0%	-0.10	2	-0.24	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0,0.2	0.20	0.04	0.17	0.00	19	54%	0.20	0	0.00	10	80%	0.04
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.06	-0.01	9	68%	0.22	2	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	64%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	14	43%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawnelle Scott	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	5	33%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
George McCloud	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.06	-0.02	10	27%	-0.11	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.06,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.25	-0.25	-0.09	-0.18	-0.02	19	41%	-0.15	2	-0.10	6	100%	0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.3	24.3	15.6	23.3	1.4	34.5	127.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -27.0%

DEN +21.2%

DEN +23.0%

DEN +30.4%

DEN +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DEN	NBA	LAC	DEN	NBA
this game	14.6	16.7	15.6	101.1	104.3	102.3
season	15.9	16.1		103.6	99.7
opponent	15.2	15.4		105.9	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.3	13.9	16.6	12.9	14.6
DEN	13.0	22.1	19.6	14.2	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Boykins	27	26	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.12	6	-9	15	14.2	14.8	-0.56	20.0	15.4	4.62
Michael Olowokandi	24	24	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.11	-7	4	-11	16.1	14.1	1.98	15.5	17.1	-1.60
Corey Maggette	34	34	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-4	5	15.0	14.4	0.65	16.0	17.1	-1.04
Darius Miles	47	47	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.32	6	-9	15	14.2	15.1	-0.88	18.4	14.9	3.56
Eric Piatkowski	38	39	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	1	-5	14.2	14.9	-0.79	14.7	18.2	-3.50
Sean Rooks	32	31	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	2	-7	14.8	14.5	0.25	15.9	17.1	-1.18
Quentin Richardson	59	60	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.56	5	-8	13	14.0	15.7	-1.73	16.9	16.2	0.71
Elton Brand	72	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	0	-3	14.9	13.7	1.18	17.0	15.4	1.64
Lamar Odom	62	61	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.30	-5	2	-7	14.6	14.6	0.08	17.2	15.7	1.52
Jeff McInnis	65	66	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.30	-9	6	-15	14.8	14.2	0.56	15.4	20.0	-4.62

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Van Exel	78	79	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.32	13	-10	23	16.3	18.9	-2.56	14.6	14.8	-0.26
Shawnelle Scott	45	44	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.11	13	-10	23	15.4	18.0	-2.60	14.8	14.5	0.29
James Posey	58	58	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.38	2	1	1	17.0	16.2	0.76	13.8	16.0	-2.14
Raef LaFrentz	74	72	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.33	2	1	1	16.1	19.2	-3.09	14.0	17.0	-3.04
George McCloud	64	64	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.26	1	2	-1	17.4	15.1	2.32	14.3	15.3	-0.96
Avery Johnson	50	51	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.42	-5	8	-13	18.3	14.7	3.58	14.4	14.9	-0.47
Scott Williams	27	29	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.09	2	1	1	17.3	16.4	0.92	16.6	13.7	2.92
Voshon Lenard	29	27	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.02	-4	7	-11	15.8	17.1	-1.30	15.1	14.4	0.70
Ryan Bowen	35	36	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.12	-9	12	-21	16.7	16.7	0.00	15.9	13.8	2.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.38,0.35,0.52,0.4,0.56,0.5,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.37,0.53,0.47,0.73,0.68,0.79,0.71,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 92, UTA 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.6,0.46,0.68,0.54,0.55,0.73,1	91.2%
SAC 94, NOH 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.46,0.34,0.21,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.79,0.86,0.58,1	91.2%
SAS 71, PHI 77	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.53,0.46,0.53,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.84,1	91.1%