NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	94		Excitement	8.9 [123]		MVP	David West (NOH): +36.1%
New Orleans Hornets	96		Comeback	4.7 [484]		LVP	Andres Nocioni (SAC): -19.9%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyreke Evans	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.37,0.3	0.11	0.19	-0.00	17	60%	0.32	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.01
Jason Thompson	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.08	-0.00	13	65%	0.26	2	-0.11	5	40%	-0.05
Beno Udrih	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.00	10	65%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	12	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	6	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ime Udoka	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2	-0.09	-0.10	0.01	10	31%	-0.14	2	-0.06	6	33%	-0.29

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.33,0.36	0.36	0.13	0.22	-0.01	13	71%	0.39	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.03
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.35	0.35	0.06	0.29	-0.00	5	92%	0.43	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.03
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.02	0.02	8	87%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.05	0.00	11	61%	0.15	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.00	8	42%	0.04	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.06
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	5	30%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	13	54%	0.04	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.13	-0.07	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	0.7	32.5	15.8	24.2	2.4	37.5	138.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +37.0%

NOH +10.3%

NOH +7.5%

SAC -8.2%

NOH +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	NOH	NBA	SAC	NOH	NBA
this game	15.6	15.8	15.3	103.3	104.3	106.0
season	15.2	15.5		103.7	106.0
opponent	15.2	15.0		108.3	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	18.5	14.6	15.5	14.2	15.6
NOH	15.0	16.0	16.5	15.7	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ime Udoka	34	35	0.24	-0.74	0.98	-0.05	10	-12	22	14.3	16.5	-2.16	15.1	16.2	-1.10
Jason Thompson	56	57	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.06	2	-4	6	16.2	14.8	1.38	16.1	15.3	0.83
Kenny Thomas	43	43	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.24	4	-6	10	16.0	15.3	0.67	17.2	14.6	2.64
Donte Greene	40	41	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.09	-8	6	-14	17.3	14.4	2.90	15.2	16.3	-1.14
Sergio Rodriguez	32	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.26	4	-6	10	13.3	16.9	-3.55	15.5	16.0	-0.45
Beno Udrih	57	58	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.49	10	-12	22	14.1	18.3	-4.22	15.7	16.0	-0.23
Tyreke Evans	71	72	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.44	-6	4	-10	15.8	15.0	0.77	15.9	15.6	0.23
Spencer Hawes	61	59	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.39	-9	7	-16	16.0	15.0	1.02	15.9	15.6	0.30
Andres Nocioni	61	63	-1.00	0.50	-1.50	-0.50	-17	15	-32	16.8	13.4	3.35	15.4	16.7	-1.21

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	68	65	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.44	12	-10	22	15.6	16.5	-0.97	16.7	13.0	3.76
Chris Paul	73	73	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.40	11	-9	20	15.6	16.8	-1.28	16.5	12.3	4.13
Marcus Thornton	45	42	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.55	-6	8	-14	16.5	15.2	1.25	14.1	16.9	-2.80
James Posey	43	43	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.53	-6	8	-14	15.5	16.1	-0.68	14.5	16.6	-2.11
Darius Songaila	40	42	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.63	-11	13	-24	17.5	14.6	2.92	14.2	16.9	-2.71
Devin Brown	39	40	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.14	11	-9	20	15.2	16.3	-1.03	16.6	14.9	1.79
Peja Stojakovic	51	48	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.09	8	-6	14	15.5	16.2	-0.67	16.6	14.5	2.11
Emeka Okafor	68	69	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.26	8	-6	14	15.6	16.6	-1.02	15.9	14.8	1.15
Hilton Armstrong	6	6	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.06	-5	7	-12	15.8	15.8	0.01	11.0	16.0	-4.98
Darren Collison	27	28	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.08	-12	14	-26	16.3	15.6	0.72	14.1	16.3	-2.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.46,0.34,0.21,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.79,0.86,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 76, SAS 79	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.43,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.41,0.35,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.74,1	91.8%
SAS 71, PHI 77	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.53,0.46,0.53,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.84,1	91.6%
LAC 93, DEN 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.38,0.35,0.52,0.4,0.56,0.5,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.37,0.53,0.47,0.73,0.68,0.79,0.71,0.73,1	91.2%