NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	111		Excitement	7.9 [331]		MVP	Derrick White (SAS): +27.7%
San Antonio Spurs	117		Comeback	6.3 [467]		LVP	Jaylen Adams (ATL): -18.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alex Len	0.23	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.16	0.10	0.02	11	75%	0.23	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.05
Kent Bazemore	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22	0.17	0.06	0.00	16	76%	0.28	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Deyonta Davis	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07	0.00	0.07	-0.00	5	75%	0.15	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
DeAndre' Bembry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	6	57%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Vince Carter	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Trae Young	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	15	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Kevin Huerter	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.04	-0.06	0.03	11	59%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	8	41%	-0.02	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Isaac Humphries	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	9	22%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Adams	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.06	0.00	8	0%	-0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick White	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.28	0.28	0.14	0.16	0.03	12	96%	0.39	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.07	0.01	11	86%	0.25	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.03	0.01	11	76%	0.36	5	-0.22	16	94%	0.09
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.00	0.00	9	78%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.02	11	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.09	0.08	-0.01	10	30%	0.08	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Lonnie Walker IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	10	30%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.3	29.7	15.2	24.4	1.8	34.2	131.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +58.2%

SAS +17.5%

ATL -4.6%

ATL -19.5%

ATL -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	SAS	NBA	ATL	SAS	NBA
this game	13.4	14.7	14.3	108.8	113.6	109.3
season	13.6	14.8		107.2	111.7
opponent	14.4	13.9		110.4	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.5	13.5	11.9	14.0	13.4
SAS	13.8	14.2	15.8	14.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaylen Adams	42	43	0.44	-0.94	1.37	0.23	7	-13	20	13.4	13.5	-0.09	14.8	14.6	0.22
Kent Bazemore	50	51	0.24	-0.74	0.97	-0.03	9	-15	24	13.1	13.7	-0.65	14.9	14.4	0.44
Alex Len	58	60	0.21	-0.71	0.93	0.10	4	-10	14	14.2	12.4	1.76	14.6	14.8	-0.18
Isaac Humphries	40	40	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.00	1	-7	8	14.1	13.0	1.14	13.5	15.4	-1.86
Justin Anderson	57	57	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.06	-9	3	-12	13.3	13.6	-0.26	14.6	14.8	-0.22
DeAndre' Bembry	42	39	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-2	-2	14.3	12.8	1.49	13.9	15.1	-1.23
Deyonta Davis	44	45	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.36	-7	1	-8	12.2	14.4	-2.16	15.0	14.4	0.60
Vince Carter	58	59	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.40	-10	4	-14	13.0	14.0	-0.92	15.4	13.7	1.75
Kevin Huerter	55	57	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.55	-10	4	-14	13.3	13.6	-0.38	15.0	14.2	0.84
Trae Young	64	64	-0.87	0.37	-1.24	-0.55	-11	5	-16	13.5	13.3	0.14	14.5	15.0	-0.51

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick White	65	65	1.05	-0.55	1.60	0.46	20	-14	34	14.7	14.6	0.09	13.8	12.7	1.14
LaMarcus Aldridge	81	82	1.02	-0.52	1.53	0.46	19	-13	32	14.4	15.5	-1.01	13.6	12.9	0.66
DeMar DeRozan	76	77	0.96	-0.46	1.42	0.43	18	-12	30	14.6	14.9	-0.26	13.7	12.7	0.94
Bryn Forbes	59	59	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.38	14	-8	22	15.8	13.2	2.58	13.6	13.1	0.50
Marco Belinelli	57	56	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.28	0	6	-6	14.2	15.2	-0.97	13.1	13.9	-0.84
Lonnie Walker IV	10	11	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.01	-1	7	-8	13.2	14.8	-1.62	13.3	13.5	-0.18
Rudy Gay	55	53	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.03	-2	8	-10	14.9	14.4	0.46	14.1	12.8	1.30
Patty Mills	48	47	-0.44	0.94	-1.37	-0.14	-10	16	-26	14.3	15.0	-0.69	12.2	14.5	-2.30
Jakob Poeltl	22	20	-0.52	1.02	-1.53	-0.14	-13	19	-32	15.5	14.4	1.01	12.9	13.6	-0.66
Davis Bertans	42	40	-0.54	1.04	-1.59	-0.10	-15	21	-36	14.3	14.9	-0.67	13.2	13.6	-0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.63,0.56,0.48,0.34,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.35,0.47,0.62,0.79,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 92, LAL 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.63,0.56,0.3,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.25,0.53,0.53,0.74,0.93,0.99,0.98,1	92.6%
CHI 86, CLE 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.63,0.56,0.38,0.34,0.21,0.13,0.28,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.55,0.63,0.94,1,1	92.1%
WAS 107, BOS 115	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.27,0.61,0.79,0.78,0.99,1	91.4%