NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	107		Excitement	7.9 [257]		MVP	Eddie House (BOS): +42.9%
Boston Celtics	115		Comeback	8.1 [206]		LVP	Juan Dixon (WAS): -28.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caron Butler	0.35	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.31,0.35,0.35	0.27	0.12	0.03	20	78%	0.50	3	-0.15	10	90%	0.04
Nick Young	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14	0.09	0.04	-0.01	10	65%	0.16	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
JaVale McGee	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.01	11	63%	0.17	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.04
Javaris Crittenton	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	8	42%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Darius Songaila	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	8	62%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.06	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Oleksiy Pecherov	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	10	32%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Juan Dixon	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.28,-0.28	-0.14	-0.19	-0.05	6	21%	-0.08	4	-0.20	2	50%	-0.04

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.17,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43	0.43	0.18	0.25	0.00	12	83%	0.43	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.01	11	60%	0.13	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Leon Powe	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.02	0.02	10	67%	0.13	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.04
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	6	83%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	17	50%	0.04	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.05
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	9	45%	0.08	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.02
Henry Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	0.02	5	67%	-0.00	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.10
Gabe Pruitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	9	39%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.8	30.2	15.5	28.5	2.7	32.7	135.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +32.8%

WAS -18.5%

BOS +28.7%

BOS +9.2%

WAS -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	BOS	NBA	WAS	BOS	NBA
this game	14.6	15.3	15.5	111.5	118.6	106.4
season	15.9	15.8		103.5	108.3
opponent	15.6	15.2		101.7	111.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.4	15.8	12.9	14.1	14.6
BOS	14.6	13.0	16.4	17.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Javaris Crittenton	47	47	0.30	-0.80	1.10	-0.05	12	-20	32	15.2	14.0	1.17	15.4	15.1	0.31
Darius Songaila	53	52	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-9	10	15.0	14.0	1.04	15.5	15.0	0.54
Nick Young	52	54	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.07	-6	-2	-4	14.4	14.7	-0.33	15.1	15.5	-0.48
Dominic McGuire	80	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.35	-1	-7	6	14.8	13.6	1.21	15.1	16.2	-1.10
Caron Butler	84	85	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.09	-11	3	-14	14.3	16.7	-2.49	15.1	16.2	-1.03
Oleksiy Pecherov	59	60	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.36	-3	-5	2	13.8	15.9	-2.10	14.9	15.9	-1.01
JaVale McGee	56	57	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.32	-12	4	-16	15.3	13.5	1.75	16.1	14.1	2.03
Juan Dixon	49	50	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.21	-20	12	-32	14.0	15.2	-1.17	15.1	15.4	-0.31

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Allen	59	59	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.42	13	-5	18	16.2	13.9	2.26	14.8	14.2	0.54
Gabe Pruitt	42	42	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.45	11	-3	14	15.8	14.9	0.91	14.3	14.8	-0.47
Eddie House	58	57	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	-3	14	14.7	16.1	-1.35	15.0	14.0	1.01
Leon Powe	53	51	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.30	2	6	-4	16.2	14.2	1.95	15.1	13.9	1.20
Glen Davis	61	60	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.28	0	8	-8	15.5	14.9	0.51	13.5	16.3	-2.77
Mikki Moore	56	55	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.09	8	0	8	13.6	17.5	-3.84	15.1	13.9	1.17
Rajon Rondo	19	18	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.02	4	4	0	16.2	15.1	1.11	16.1	14.2	1.89
Kendrick Perkins	24	24	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	8	-8	16.6	14.8	1.80	16.0	14.1	1.85
Stephon Marbury	64	66	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.16	-2	10	-12	15.0	15.7	-0.65	14.6	14.5	0.11
Henry Walker	49	48	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.04	-7	15	-22	14.3	16.2	-1.86	12.9	16.3	-3.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.27,0.61,0.79,0.78,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 111, SAS 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.63,0.56,0.48,0.34,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.35,0.47,0.62,0.79,0.94,0.98,1	91.4%
DAL 94, UTA 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.21,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.2,0.33,0.61,0.72,0.95,0.95,1	90.0%
WAS 104, TOR 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.31,0.44,0.33,0.28,0.38,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.25,0.54,0.76,0.9,1	89.3%