NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	94		Excitement	7.0 [395]		MVP	Gordon Hayward (UTA): +29.4%
Utah Jazz	100		Comeback	5.8 [323]		LVP	Jamaal Tinsley (UTA): -8.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	-0.00	7	69%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Darren Collison	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	8	52%	0.06	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Vince Carter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	54%	0.05	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Jared Cunningham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	8	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,-0.05,-0.04,0,-0.03	0.05	-0.06	0.01	14	62%	0.12	3	-0.14	4	100%	0.04
Chris Kaman	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.03	12	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Dahntay Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0.03	1	100%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	8	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.05	-0.02	14	43%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.20	0.09	0.00	14	73%	0.29	0	0.00	9	78%	0.01
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.09	0.01	7	57%	0.14	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.01
Randy Foye	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	7	53%	0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	0.03
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	14	44%	0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
Paul Millsap	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.02	14	47%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	36%	0.01	2	-0.07	5	40%	-0.05
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	7	36%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.3	30.3	15.7	24.5	2.5	36.5	135.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +20.7%

UTA +5.8%

UTA +2.9%

UTA +14.9%

UTA +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	UTA	NBA	DAL	UTA	NBA
this game	14.9	15.7	15.4	100.0	106.4	104.1
season	14.5	16.0		104.3	104.6
opponent	15.1	15.6		105.0	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.9	14.5	15.0	15.3	14.9
UTA	15.1	15.5	17.0	15.3	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jae Crowder	35	34	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.01	4	-10	14	14.9	14.9	-0.02	14.1	16.6	-2.59
Rodrigue Beaubois	37	37	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.04	-1	-5	4	15.5	14.5	1.01	14.9	16.3	-1.40
Dahntay Jones	8	8	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-3	0	15.7	14.8	0.90	14.4	15.8	-1.46
Jared Cunningham	5	5	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	0	-6	14.6	14.9	-0.34	11.4	16.0	-4.56
Elton Brand	37	39	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.22	2	-8	10	16.1	14.2	1.95	15.3	16.0	-0.74
Shawn Marion	55	53	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.04	-5	-1	-4	14.5	15.5	-1.00	16.5	14.6	1.91
Chris Kaman	55	52	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.10	-8	2	-10	14.5	15.6	-1.14	16.9	14.2	2.67
Vince Carter	48	48	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-5	4	14.4	15.4	-1.00	14.3	17.2	-2.86
O.J. Mayo	75	75	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.42	-1	-5	4	14.4	16.9	-2.47	15.9	15.0	0.89
Dirk Nowitzki	58	62	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.28	-6	0	-6	16.0	13.2	2.76	16.6	14.1	2.50
Darren Collison	57	57	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.36	-5	-1	-4	14.5	15.5	-1.01	16.3	14.9	1.40

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alec Burks	42	43	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.40	11	-5	16	15.3	16.1	-0.77	16.0	14.0	1.98
Paul Millsap	68	69	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.38	11	-5	16	16.2	14.5	1.73	14.4	16.4	-1.95
Al Jefferson	63	63	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.44	7	-1	8	16.0	15.1	0.87	14.6	15.5	-0.88
Randy Foye	65	64	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.41	6	0	6	15.6	15.9	-0.27	14.0	17.0	-3.05
Gordon Hayward	68	67	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.31	6	0	6	14.9	17.8	-2.90	15.3	14.0	1.25
Marvin Williams	31	32	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.02	6	0	6	17.1	15.0	2.11	14.7	15.0	-0.27
Enes Kanter	28	28	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.12	-1	7	-8	16.7	15.3	1.38	16.5	14.3	2.24
Earl Watson	33	31	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.17	0	6	-6	16.6	15.2	1.42	16.5	14.1	2.37
Derrick Favors	29	28	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.05	-5	11	-16	13.0	16.9	-3.87	15.3	14.8	0.51
Jamaal Tinsley	43	45	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.04	-11	17	-28	15.8	15.6	0.14	13.8	16.0	-2.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.21,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.2,0.33,0.61,0.72,0.95,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 98, MEM 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.34,0.26,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.61,0.79,0.78,0.74,1	91.0%
HOU 77, SAS 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.48,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.28,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.15,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.27,0.38,0.72,0.87,0.87,1	90.9%
MIA 96, LAC 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.53,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.22,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.62,0.93,0.9,0.99,1	90.9%