NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	129		Excitement	4.4 [955]		MVP	Jeremy Lamb (CHA): +21.8%
Atlanta Hawks	120		Comeback	1.0 [926]		LVP	Taurean Prince (ATL): -6.8%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Lamb	0.22	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.16	0.03	-0.03	14	75%	0.24	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Marvin Williams	0.15	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.23	-0.01	0.07	16	84%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.18	0.01	0.06	27	66%	0.19	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	5	92%	0.08	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	62%	0.04	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Miles Bridges	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	4	40%	0.03	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devonte' Graham	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.01	0.00	7	87%	0.14	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	9	65%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.13	-0.01	0.10	9	94%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	58%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
John Collins	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	-0.02	0.04	12	70%	0.08	4	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Justin Anderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omari Spellman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Trae Young	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.03	15	67%	0.06	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	12	48%	-0.00	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.7	25.3	14.5	27.1	2.5	28.6	123.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +31.9%

CHA +3.1%

CHA +1.1%

CHA +13.6%

CHA +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	ATL	NBA	CHA	ATL	NBA
this game	14.9	13.8	14.3	129.0	120.0	109.3
season	14.6	13.6		110.4	107.2
opponent	13.9	14.3		112.6	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	13.0	13.8	15.9	17.6	14.9
ATL	14.7	12.0	16.8	12.4	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kemba Walker	75	77	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.06	15	-6	21	14.9	15.1	-0.23	14.2	12.8	1.39
Jeremy Lamb	75	77	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.05	15	-6	21	14.7	15.6	-0.81	14.2	12.6	1.67
Marvin Williams	72	72	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.20	8	1	7	14.7	15.6	-0.86	14.4	12.4	1.97
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	59	60	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.03	16	-7	23	15.5	14.1	1.44	13.5	14.3	-0.75
Miles Bridges	33	36	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.12	14	-5	19	14.5	15.2	-0.69	13.8	13.9	-0.11
Cody Zeller	55	53	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.18	0	9	-9	15.1	14.8	0.31	13.7	14.1	-0.40
Nicolas Batum	72	70	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.41	-10	19	-29	15.5	13.5	2.06	13.6	14.3	-0.69
Bismack Biyombo	11	10	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	10	-11	12.9	15.2	-2.29	12.5	14.0	-1.50
Malik Monk	23	22	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.20	-6	15	-21	14.3	15.1	-0.78	13.4	14.0	-0.62
Devonte' Graham	25	23	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.17	-6	15	-21	15.1	14.9	0.23	12.8	14.2	-1.39

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Anderson	1	1	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-11	13	4.0	13.9	-9.95	0.0	15.1	-15.10
Alex Len	24	23	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.24	7	-16	23	13.6	13.9	-0.30	13.7	15.3	-1.57
Vince Carter	22	24	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.00	-3	-6	3	12.4	14.3	-1.85	14.2	15.2	-0.98
DeAndre' Bembry	31	32	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.11	0	-9	9	13.6	14.0	-0.34	13.8	15.5	-1.72
Kent Bazemore	41	42	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.23	4	-13	17	12.9	14.5	-1.65	15.5	14.6	0.91
Jeremy Lin	41	41	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-10	11	13.4	14.1	-0.70	14.5	15.3	-0.78
Omari Spellman	24	24	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	-3	-3	14.5	13.7	0.80	14.2	15.2	-0.98
Dewayne Dedmon	56	57	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-3	-3	14.0	13.7	0.26	16.1	13.4	2.65
Taurean Prince	57	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	0	-9	14.4	13.2	1.21	14.6	15.4	-0.78
Trae Young	59	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	1	-11	14.1	13.4	0.70	15.3	14.5	0.78
John Collins	73	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.08	-12	3	-15	14.2	12.9	1.32	15.1	14.5	0.66
Kevin Huerter	71	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.06	-13	4	-17	14.1	13.2	0.86	15.4	13.8	1.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 100, MIA 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.17,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
DAL 124, PHI 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.26,0.24,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
UTA 102, GSW 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.13,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.49,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.16,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%