NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	124		Excitement	4.5 [916]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +20.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	112		Comeback	1.0 [1290]		LVP	Monta Ellis (DAL): -7.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.21	0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.04	0.04	12	96%	0.24	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0.17	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.03	0.02	14	79%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	9	82%	0.13	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.02	-0.03	4	69%	0.08	3	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Wayne Ellington	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.05	4	60%	0.03	2	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	54%	0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	67%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bernard James	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Larkin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	75%	0.02	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.17	-0.00	-0.09	12	38%	0.02	7	-0.10	5	40%	-0.04

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	47%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Arnett Moultrie	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	55%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	70%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	53%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Lorenzo Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.05	19	53%	0.02	2	-0.04	9	78%	0.00
Tony Wroten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	14	51%	0.08	5	-0.10	13	69%	-0.02
Thaddeus Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	29	48%	-0.02	5	-0.04	4	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	1.8	33.2	15.4	23.4	1.8	36.3	140.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +59.5%

DAL +0.8%

PHI -1.0%

PHI -7.5%

PHI -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHI	NBA	DAL	PHI	NBA
this game	14.7	12.5	15.1	117.0	105.7	105.2
season	15.3	13.7		109.0	98.4
opponent	15.0	15.0		108.4	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	11.2	15.4	14.7	18.4	14.7
PHI	12.8	10.4	14.7	12.1	12.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	62	64	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.16	21	-9	30	15.3	13.9	1.34	14.0	10.1	3.83
Vince Carter	45	47	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.04	15	-3	18	14.1	15.2	-1.13	13.2	11.8	1.37
DeJuan Blair	38	38	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.07	11	1	10	11.9	16.3	-4.36	12.7	12.3	0.40
Monta Ellis	72	72	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.08	16	-4	20	15.3	13.4	1.96	12.9	11.5	1.36
Jose Calderon	59	62	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.06	9	3	6	16.4	12.6	3.73	13.5	11.0	2.41
Dirk Nowitzki	63	64	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.01	7	5	2	14.0	15.8	-1.77	12.2	12.8	-0.59
Devin Harris	50	47	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.06	5	7	-2	12.8	16.5	-3.70	11.8	13.0	-1.16
Brandan Wright	29	29	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	8	-4	17.9	13.5	4.38	12.8	12.3	0.42
Jae Crowder	29	26	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.19	-5	17	-22	15.2	14.5	0.63	10.2	13.2	-3.00
Samuel Dalembert	36	36	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	10	-8	15.0	14.6	0.39	12.6	12.4	0.20
Bernard James	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	18	-24	15.2	14.7	0.48	5.2	12.8	-7.61
Shane Larkin	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	19	-26	16.5	14.6	1.93	7.3	12.8	-5.53
Wayne Ellington	33	33	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.33	-12	24	-36	13.8	15.1	-1.35	10.2	13.5	-3.21

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lorenzo Brown	39	37	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.17	5	-17	22	11.6	13.0	-1.37	13.0	15.6	-2.64
Arnett Moultrie	70	69	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	-6	0	12.7	12.0	0.69	14.0	16.1	-2.18
Elliot Williams	60	58	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.04	-9	-3	-6	12.9	11.8	1.15	15.3	14.0	1.23
Tony Wroten	67	69	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-10	8	11.7	13.7	-2.04	13.8	16.4	-2.59
Thaddeus Young	98	95	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-9	6	12.4	12.9	-0.46	14.7	14.8	-0.11
Hollis Thompson	37	41	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.11	-10	-2	-8	12.0	12.7	-0.65	16.1	13.9	2.21
James Anderson	77	79	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	1	-14	12.7	11.8	0.96	15.6	12.3	3.30
Michael Carter-Williams	82	82	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	0.03	-22	10	-32	12.9	10.9	1.99	15.0	13.7	1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.26,0.24,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 98, DEN 79	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.21,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.2%
DAL 107, PHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.37,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
CHA 129, ATL 120	0.5,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0	94.7%