NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	102		Excitement	3.5 [1126]		MVP	Raja Bell (UTA): +9.7%
Golden State Warriors	80		Comeback	1.0 [655]		LVP	Troy Murphy (GSW): -14.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.01	-0.04	8	69%	0.10	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	8	83%	0.10	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Gordan Giricek	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.02	6	75%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	5	83%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	16	46%	0.02	2	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	5	46%	-0.02	3	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	8	65%	0.03	4	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	10	56%	0.01	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	6	50%	-0.05	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.00	-0.00	11	71%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ansu Sesay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Dale Davis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	2	100%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	14	57%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.02	-0.05	7	37%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	-0.06	6	44%	0.02	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	7	14%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	14	41%	-0.03	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	5	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.18	-0.04	-0.09	14	7%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	24.5	17.3	23.5	2.5	26.3	120.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +31.5%

UTA +4.3%

UTA +0.5%

UTA +11.9%

UTA +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	GSW	NBA	UTA	GSW	NBA
this game	16.5	15.5	15.5	112.1	89.9	104.0
season	16.7	15.0		102.3	102.3
opponent	15.2	15.1		104.7	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.0	19.5	15.3	17.5	16.5
GSW	17.3	14.8	14.0	15.9	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith McLeod	53	51	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.30	31	-9	40	15.0	18.6	-3.58	16.8	13.7	3.11
Gordan Giricek	43	42	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.24	29	-7	36	14.4	18.4	-3.98	15.2	15.7	-0.49
Jarron Collins	45	43	0.59	-0.09	0.69	-0.23	28	-6	34	14.9	18.1	-3.18	15.0	15.9	-0.91
Andrei Kirilenko	62	62	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.29	24	-2	26	15.3	19.1	-3.78	15.8	14.9	0.92
Carlos Boozer	55	54	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.08	16	6	10	16.7	16.2	0.45	15.9	14.9	0.91
Matt Harpring	52	51	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.04	8	14	-6	17.6	15.1	2.48	15.4	15.6	-0.19
Mehmet Okur	28	28	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	18	-14	16.9	16.3	0.63	17.1	14.7	2.41
Kris Humphries	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	23	-24	16.6	16.5	0.11	12.2	15.6	-3.40
Kirk Snyder	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	25	-28	17.6	16.4	1.24	12.7	15.7	-3.02
Raja Bell	48	47	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.10	-7	29	-36	18.4	14.4	3.98	15.7	15.2	0.49
Howard Eisley	38	38	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.15	-9	31	-40	18.6	15.0	3.58	13.7	16.8	-3.11

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Davis	9	10	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.10	8	-30	38	14.8	15.6	-0.80	21.8	15.8	5.96
Ansu Sesay	10	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-27	32	12.5	15.9	-3.37	21.1	15.9	5.23
Andris Biedrins	12	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-29	36	13.1	15.9	-2.79	19.4	16.0	3.37
Calbert Cheaney	48	48	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-18	14	16.0	15.0	1.01	16.9	16.1	0.81
Derek Fisher	48	48	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.12	-7	-15	8	15.8	15.1	0.69	17.3	15.6	1.73
Clifford Robinson	34	35	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.21	-16	-6	-10	17.1	14.5	2.67	15.5	17.1	-1.69
Adonal Foyle	25	26	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.11	-13	-9	-4	15.4	15.5	-0.13	14.4	17.3	-2.90
Mike Dunleavy	61	63	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-13	4	14.7	17.2	-2.51	16.6	16.2	0.46
Eduardo Najera	26	27	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.07	-12	-10	-2	17.2	14.8	2.34	15.7	16.8	-1.18
Troy Murphy	61	61	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.26	-20	-2	-18	14.7	17.1	-2.41	16.5	16.5	0.04
Speedy Claxton	49	50	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.07	-16	-6	-10	15.5	15.5	-0.01	15.7	17.5	-1.85
Jason Richardson	62	63	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	0.31	-33	11	-44	15.9	14.6	1.35	15.6	18.4	-2.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.13,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.49,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.16,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 120, ATL 95	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
CHA 129, ATL 120	0.5,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0	94.6%
MIN 116, BOS 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.28,0.22,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%