NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	98		Excitement	7.3 [422]		MVP	Langston Galloway (DET): +14.8%
Detroit Pistons	95		Comeback	1.1 [269]		LVP	Blake Griffin (DET): -26.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Lin	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.12	0.00	0.11	-0.01	7	50%	0.27	1	-0.15	6	100%	0.11
Vince Carter	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.08,0.08	0.09	-0.01	-0.00	14	62%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Justin Anderson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.01	2	117%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dewayne Dedmon	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	6	69%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Kent Bazemore	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.05	0.01	13	43%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Alex Poythress	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Hamilton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	10	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	18	39%	-0.01	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Trae Young	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.02	-0.03	14	35%	-0.05	6	-0.12	6	67%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.02	-0.00	12	67%	0.15	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	4	70%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	8	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.16,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	12	55%	0.13	2	-0.12	5	80%	0.04
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	6	57%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	12	43%	-0.02	2	-0.05	6	17%	-0.05
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	9	22%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.27	-0.27	-0.12	-0.13	0.02	14	41%	-0.18	5	-0.09	9	67%	-0.25

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.5	32.2	14.8	28.4	1.7	39.2	142.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +7.0%

ATL +19.4%

ATL +28.1%

DET -3.3%

DET -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DET	NBA	ATL	DET	NBA
this game	13.3	15.2	14.3	97.0	94.1	109.3
season	13.6	15.3		107.2	107.5
opponent	14.0	13.9		109.0	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	11.3	11.3	15.0	16.0	13.3
DET	16.3	15.4	15.0	14.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	58	59	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.37	11	-8	19	12.9	13.8	-0.88	15.1	15.5	-0.43
DeAndre' Bembry	40	37	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.10	14	-11	25	12.2	14.0	-1.84	14.9	15.4	-0.57
Kent Bazemore	75	74	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	-1	5	13.2	13.5	-0.34	15.1	15.6	-0.55
Jeremy Lin	38	35	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.29	0	3	-3	13.4	13.2	0.26	14.8	15.5	-0.70
Alex Len	76	77	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.31	-2	5	-7	12.7	15.1	-2.44	14.6	17.3	-2.71
Trae Young	63	66	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	0	3	13.2	13.4	-0.26	15.5	14.8	0.70
Kevin Huerter	70	74	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.30	-7	10	-17	13.9	11.9	2.00	15.1	15.6	-0.50
Dewayne Dedmon	44	44	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.13	7	-4	11	12.8	13.6	-0.79	16.2	14.5	1.69
Daniel Hamilton	7	8	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.03	2	1	1	11.6	13.4	-1.84	19.7	14.8	4.91
Justin Anderson	29	27	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.32	-12	15	-27	14.6	12.7	1.87	15.4	15.1	0.30
Alex Poythress	5	4	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.09	-5	8	-13	27.0	12.6	14.43	17.7	15.1	2.63

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Langston Galloway	44	43	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.27	7	-10	17	14.8	15.6	-0.77	14.5	12.4	2.09
Zaza Pachulia	40	39	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.35	8	-11	19	14.7	15.6	-0.87	14.6	12.5	2.08
Reggie Jackson	65	66	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.26	3	-6	9	15.3	15.0	0.31	12.8	14.1	-1.27
Luke Kennard	21	20	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.02	-7	4	-11	17.5	14.6	2.84	10.1	14.1	-3.97
Jose Calderon	35	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	1	-5	15.2	15.2	0.00	14.5	12.7	1.87
Stanley Johnson	41	40	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	1	-5	14.9	15.4	-0.55	14.6	12.4	2.17
Bruce Brown	33	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	3	-9	15.1	15.3	-0.25	13.4	13.2	0.17
Blake Griffin	82	83	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.45	5	-8	13	15.3	15.1	0.15	13.6	11.8	1.84
Reggie Bullock	82	82	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.34	-4	1	-5	15.1	15.8	-0.76	12.4	17.1	-4.64
Andre Drummond	62	63	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.13	-13	10	-23	15.5	14.9	0.58	12.3	14.9	-2.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.08,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.17,0.2,0.28,0.33,0.13,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 97, GSW 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.3,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.14,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.31,0.27,0	93.4%
LAC 105, BKN 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.25,0.22,0.1,0.04,0	93.4%
TOR 74, IND 72	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.06,0.15,0	93.4%