NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	97		Excitement	7.5 [361]		MVP	Zarko Cabarkapa (GSW): +20.5%
Golden State Warriors	94		Comeback	1.2 [547]		LVP	Derek Fisher (GSW): -20.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bob Sura	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.01	4	112%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,0.03	0.06	-0.02	-0.00	10	62%	0.03	0	0.00	6	100%	0.09
Jon Barry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	4	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Juwan Howard	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	14	60%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Yao Ming	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	12	48%	0.06	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.05
Ryan Bowen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Mike James	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	10	35%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13	-0.17	-0.01	-0.05	29	34%	-0.09	3	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zarko Cabarkapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.17,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.20	0.19	0.03	0.02	13	81%	0.21	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Rodney White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.07,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.08	-0.00	13	66%	0.18	2	-0.20	6	50%	-0.05
Adonal Foyle	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.06	-0.10	0.05	14	67%	-0.04	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.02
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	4	20%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	17	36%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.01	12	27%	-0.08	1	-0.07	6	67%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.18	-0.03	-0.01	10	0%	-0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.7	31.5	16.7	23.2	2.4	35.4	133.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +3.8%

HOU +18.4%

HOU +6.8%

HOU +19.8%

HOU +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	GSW	NBA	HOU	GSW	NBA
this game	16.6	15.4	15.5	107.8	104.4	104.0
season	16.0	15.0		104.2	102.3
opponent	15.2	15.8		104.7	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.8	16.8	16.2	17.5	16.6
GSW	17.7	13.8	16.5	13.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	64	63	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.32	11	-8	19	16.0	18.0	-1.95	15.3	15.8	-0.56
Tracy McGrady	83	82	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.37	5	-2	7	16.4	18.7	-2.32	15.6	13.4	2.25
Bob Sura	46	48	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.16	12	-9	21	15.7	17.5	-1.80	16.6	14.1	2.53
Juwan Howard	54	55	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.04	10	-7	17	16.5	16.7	-0.29	16.7	13.5	3.17
Yao Ming	51	51	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.28	-1	4	-5	17.9	14.8	3.10	16.4	14.2	2.19
Dikembe Mutombo	35	36	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.03	7	-4	11	16.4	16.7	-0.24	15.0	15.7	-0.75
Jon Barry	38	39	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.36	-7	10	-17	17.9	15.6	2.32	14.8	15.9	-1.06
Mike James	48	46	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.39	-9	12	-21	16.5	16.7	-0.17	13.4	17.5	-4.07
Ryan Bowen	3	2	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	3	-3	0.7	17.1	-16.46	4.5	15.7	-11.17
Scott Padgett	28	28	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	0.02	-13	16	-29	17.8	16.0	1.81	14.5	15.8	-1.34

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney White	6	7	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-3	3	13.0	15.6	-2.60	18.0	16.5	1.54
Zarko Cabarkapa	61	61	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.55	17	-20	37	13.8	18.8	-5.02	17.0	15.6	1.41
Mickael Pietrus	51	50	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.48	14	-17	31	13.7	17.7	-4.01	16.7	16.4	0.32
Andris Biedrins	24	24	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.05	-3	0	-3	15.8	15.3	0.50	17.2	16.4	0.80
Derek Fisher	59	58	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	2	-7	17.0	12.5	4.48	16.8	16.2	0.65
Adonal Foyle	26	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	3	-9	18.7	14.1	4.65	16.9	16.5	0.39
Jason Richardson	82	81	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.39	-2	-1	-1	15.7	12.7	2.93	16.5	17.0	-0.47
Troy Murphy	69	68	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.21	-14	11	-25	15.5	15.2	0.24	15.9	18.8	-2.97
Baron Davis	72	74	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.31	-16	13	-29	15.3	15.9	-0.65	16.2	18.2	-2.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.3,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.14,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.31,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 98, DET 95	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.08,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.17,0.2,0.28,0.33,0.13,0	93.4%
POR 79, SAS 75	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.19,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.16,0.15,0	93.1%
TOR 74, IND 72	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.06,0.15,0	93.1%