NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	105		Excitement	5.2 [796]		MVP	JJ Redick (LAC): +17.9%
Brooklyn Nets	100		Comeback	1.2 [1115]		LVP	Joe Johnson (BKN): -8.5%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18	0.16	0.02	0.00	11	72%	0.20	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.02	6	83%	0.10	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.09	-0.01	0.10	-0.00	19	52%	0.15	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Chris Paul	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.07	-0.06	0.12	-0.01	15	45%	0.13	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
DeAndre Jordan	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.06
Austin Rivers	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	8	56%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	9	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	10	58%	0.06	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	16	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.01	0.03	7	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.05
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Markel Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	39%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Donald Sloan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	11	54%	0.04	5	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	0.04	10	55%	0.01	3	-0.06	9	78%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	14	50%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	35.5	15.4	25.3	2.0	35.3	138.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +63.7%

BKN -16.4%

BKN -10.9%

LAC +13.6%

BKN -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	BKN	NBA	LAC	BKN	NBA
this game	15.0	14.7	14.9	107.1	104.2	105.1
season	14.8	15.0		106.6	101.9
opponent	14.8	14.9		109.3	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.9	14.4	17.0	14.7	15.0
BKN	15.5	15.6	14.3	13.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Jordan	69	69	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.25	5	0	5	14.9	15.2	-0.39	14.6	14.9	-0.29
Wesley Johnson	34	34	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	1	3	16.0	14.4	1.53	14.4	14.9	-0.57
JJ Redick	55	55	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.20	3	2	1	14.7	15.3	-0.59	15.1	14.1	1.00
Chris Paul	63	64	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.23	1	4	-3	14.5	15.8	-1.25	15.2	13.8	1.36
Austin Rivers	37	33	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	1	3	15.1	14.9	0.22	13.6	15.3	-1.65
Paul Pierce	27	26	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.02	8	-3	11	14.4	15.2	-0.78	14.3	14.9	-0.56
Blake Griffin	70	68	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.36	-5	10	-15	15.3	14.1	1.21	14.8	14.6	0.21
Lance Stephenson	24	23	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.10	1	4	-3	15.8	14.7	1.09	14.9	14.7	0.26
Josh Smith	25	25	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.02	4	1	3	14.8	15.0	-0.23	13.7	15.1	-1.35
Jamal Crawford	51	50	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.18	-3	8	-11	15.2	14.7	0.43	15.1	14.3	0.75
Luc Mbah a Moute	35	33	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	2	1	14.3	15.3	-1.06	15.0	14.6	0.47

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thomas Robinson	0	1	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-5	5	0.0	14.7	-14.72	4.0	15.1	-11.08
Donald Sloan	11	12	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.12	4	-9	13	15.1	14.7	0.42	15.0	15.0	0.03
Shane Larkin	11	12	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-6	7	15.0	14.7	0.32	16.7	14.7	1.93
Andrea Bargnani	27	28	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.39	13	-18	31	14.6	14.8	-0.18	15.2	14.9	0.39
Wayne Ellington	19	22	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-4	3	12.7	15.2	-2.54	16.0	14.7	1.39
Willie Reed	13	14	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	0	-5	15.3	14.6	0.68	14.6	15.0	-0.46
Markel Brown	34	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.03	-8	3	-11	14.9	14.6	0.21	15.9	14.5	1.38
Joe Johnson	72	72	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.38	3	-8	11	15.0	13.8	1.18	14.7	15.7	-1.04
Bojan Bogdanovic	78	81	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.36	2	-7	9	14.4	16.1	-1.71	14.6	16.5	-1.89
Brook Lopez	65	66	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.00	-14	9	-23	14.5	15.1	-0.56	15.0	15.0	0.00
Thaddeus Young	73	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.24	-8	3	-11	15.1	13.6	1.52	15.0	14.9	0.11
Jarrett Jack	77	77	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.17	-12	7	-19	14.9	14.1	0.76	14.7	16.0	-1.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.25,0.22,0.1,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 97, DEN 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.04,0,0.01,0	94.1%
TOR 106, WAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%
IND 116, MEM 113	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.15,0.13,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.08,0	94.0%