NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	98		Excitement	5.6 [742]		MVP	DeAndre' Bembry (ATL): +20.3%
Atlanta Hawks	106		Comeback	3.4 [146]		LVP	Trey Lyles (DEN): -14.1%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Jokic	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.04	-0.01	17	59%	0.16	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.01
Juancho Hernangomez	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.02	0.04	12	59%	0.08	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Malik Beasley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.06	16	56%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Monte Morris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.10	0.00	-0.08	14	36%	-0.00	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Murray	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	9	22%	-0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	5	60%	-0.00	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Torrey Craig	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	11	36%	-0.01	3	-0.10	3	33%	-0.02
Trey Lyles	-0.14	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	13	30%	-0.10	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeAndre' Bembry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.13	0.05	-0.02	9	78%	0.21	1	-0.00	5	60%	-0.01
John Collins	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.21	0.04	0.05	20	68%	0.20	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.08	-0.03	10	65%	0.16	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	-0.01	-0.04	5	50%	0.00	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jaylen Adams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	9	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.15	-0.02	-0.08	10	32%	-0.03	5	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Tyler Dorsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	8	44%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.14	-0.03	-0.04	12	33%	-0.04	4	-0.09	3	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.4	27.3	13.0	29.3	2.4	32.2	133.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +53.3%

DEN -8.3%

ATL +1.3%

DEN -0.5%

ATL +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	ATL	NBA	DEN	ATL	NBA
this game	14.3	13.5	14.3	94.2	102.9	109.3
season	14.8	13.6		112.0	107.2
opponent	13.9	14.6		112.6	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	15.1	15.0	15.0	12.3	14.3
ATL	14.9	15.0	11.6	12.9	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Torrey Craig	68	66	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.08	-2	-6	4	14.6	13.7	0.82	13.9	12.9	0.96
Jamal Murray	47	48	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.07	-8	0	-8	16.2	12.7	3.47	14.3	12.9	1.46
Juancho Hernangomez	89	87	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.24	2	-10	12	13.6	18.1	-4.49	13.7	12.9	0.78
Nikola Jokic	69	67	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.04	-6	-2	-4	15.2	12.5	2.72	13.7	13.3	0.39
Mason Plumlee	42	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-8	8	14.3	14.3	-0.04	13.6	13.5	0.14
Trey Lyles	84	84	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.22	-7	-1	-6	13.8	16.4	-2.61	13.5	13.9	-0.44
Malik Beasley	51	53	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.20	-10	2	-12	13.9	14.6	-0.72	13.0	14.1	-1.18
Monte Morris	70	68	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.31	-9	1	-10	13.5	15.8	-2.28	12.9	14.9	-2.00

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Huerter	80	81	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.19	13	-5	18	13.0	15.5	-2.56	14.1	15.0	-0.86
Vince Carter	35	36	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.30	0	8	-8	13.5	13.5	0.01	14.0	14.4	-0.40
Alex Len	35	35	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.09	7	1	6	13.1	13.8	-0.72	15.8	13.5	2.28
Tyler Dorsey	32	33	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.09	7	1	6	14.4	13.1	1.27	15.1	13.9	1.13
Trae Young	71	70	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.16	3	5	-2	13.3	14.0	-0.68	14.4	14.1	0.30
Kent Bazemore	68	69	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	6	-4	13.7	13.3	0.38	14.9	13.1	1.73
DeAndre' Bembry	42	42	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	7	-6	13.8	13.4	0.43	13.4	14.9	-1.52
Dewayne Dedmon	63	64	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.14	2	6	-4	14.0	12.9	1.08	14.1	14.6	-0.51
John Collins	73	73	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.00	7	1	6	13.4	13.9	-0.47	13.9	15.3	-1.43
Justin Anderson	7	7	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.02	3	5	-2	14.0	13.5	0.50	12.4	14.4	-1.99
Jaylen Adams	9	10	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	13	-18	14.7	13.4	1.24	13.7	14.4	-0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 106, LAL 114	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.37,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.95,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
TOR 73, MIA 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.69,0.73,0.84,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
SAS 94, DAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.77,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1	94.6%