inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 73 Excitement4.2 [598] MVPAlonzo Mourning (MIA): +6.5%
Miami Heat 83 Comeback2.3 [548] LVPDoug Christie (TOR): -20.4%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Alvin Williams0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.010.00387%0.061-0.022100%0.00
John Thomas0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.00-0.03175%0.021-0.00250%0.00
Micheal Williams0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.010.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Michael Stewart-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
John Wallace-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.03-0.010.041557%-0.021-0.00580%0.00
Vince Carter-0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.03-0.031647%0.011-0.032100%0.01
Tracy McGrady-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.07-0.00-0.02410%-0.0500.00250%-0.01
Dee Brown-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.010.01825%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Charles Oakley-0.100,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.06-0.030.01558%0.014-0.112100%0.00
Kevin Willis-0.130,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.11-0.05-0.03731%-0.033-0.10250%-0.01
Doug Christie-0.200,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.14-0.08-0.01933%-0.113-0.10683%0.02

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.07-0.01-0.011174%0.102-0.03956%-0.04
Clar. Weatherspoon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.08-0.010.021079%0.102-0.05850%-0.04
Rex Walters0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.01-0.00-0.02333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Blue Edwards0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Duane Causwell00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tim Hardaway0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.02-0.011145%0.052-0.0600%0.00
Mark Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.00-0.0420%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Keith Askins0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01437%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
P.J. Brown0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.011136%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Dan Majerle0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.01761%0.022-0.05475%-0.01
Terry Porter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.12-0.01-0.03533%-0.054-0.052100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.22.327.821.027.11.526.4129.3
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +49.2%
TOR -5.9%
MIA +4.2%
MIA +4.2%
TOR -1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORMIANBATORMIANBA
this game17.516.815.886.998.899.6
season15.616.699.0101.3
opponent16.715.996.8101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR16.018.318.616.917.5
MIA17.615.214.120.916.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alvin Williams36360.02-0.520.55-0.156-162216.618.1-1.5917.316.50.85
Micheal Williams1110-0.01-0.490.480.05-2-8617.017.5-0.5314.217.2-2.98
Michael Stewart55-0.02-0.480.460.04-2-8624.417.07.3718.416.71.68
John Thomas2224-0.08-0.420.34-0.111-111217.017.6-0.6317.316.60.72
Doug Christie5858-0.20-0.300.09-0.14-2-8617.118.3-1.2216.617.4-0.87
Charles Oakley6261-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.07-7-3-417.417.5-0.1117.116.20.89
Kevin Willis4039-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.09-7-3-417.217.7-0.4116.417.2-0.77
John Wallace3939-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.18-5-5017.117.8-0.6816.317.2-0.91
Tracy McGrady4445-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.11-8-2-617.317.6-0.3517.915.62.35
Vince Carter6363-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.17-100-1017.916.11.7616.517.8-1.32
Dee Brown4040-0.510.01-0.51-0.10-144-1818.416.61.8816.716.9-0.18

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Clar. Weatherspoon66650.56-0.060.610.2012-21416.418.4-2.0717.218.3-1.03
Alonzo Mourning72720.500.000.490.0914-41816.717.7-0.9917.815.32.49
Tim Hardaway66660.490.010.490.0316-62215.621.4-5.8817.318.1-0.82
Keith Askins39410.420.080.340.131001016.816.80.0517.417.5-0.05
Dan Majerle57560.370.130.250.081001015.819.0-3.2117.716.90.80
Mark Strickland27280.120.38-0.260.0919-819.715.54.1918.317.11.23
Terry Porter37360.070.43-0.360.07010-1018.215.82.4017.917.10.84
Rex Walters22210.020.48-0.450.11-313-1617.016.80.2416.517.8-1.25
Blue Edwards440.000.50-0.500.12-414-1819.516.72.8111.717.7-6.00
Duane Causwell440.000.50-0.500.12-414-1819.516.72.8111.717.7-6.00
P.J. Brown2627-0.050.55-0.600.01-212-1417.916.31.6017.917.20.68


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.69,0.73,0.84,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 86, PHI 990.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.74,0.81,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.2%
IND 79, MIA 900.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.69,0.77,0.84,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,194.9%
CLE 73, DET 890.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,194.8%