NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	86		Excitement	4.5 [726]		MVP	Elton Brand (PHI): +17.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	99		Comeback	2.2 [657]		LVP	Jodie Meeks (PHI): -8.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	0.01	0.03	11	80%	0.14	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Greg Stiemsma	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	19	53%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaJuan Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.05	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Brandon Bass	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	18	47%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	5	60%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.05	0.00	15	67%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	12	52%	0.06	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	10	58%	0.10	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Louis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	-0.01	0.06	13	56%	0.01	1	-0.01	8	75%	-0.01
Sam Young	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	13	46%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	13	46%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	9	33%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	6	8%	-0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.6	42.4	17.8	25.8	2.8	27.0	145.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS -4.4%

PHI +9.2%

PHI +26.5%

PHI +21.7%

BOS -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHI	NBA	BOS	PHI	NBA
this game	14.7	17.3	15.6	94.5	111.2	102.8
season	15.5	15.6		99.4	101.0
opponent	16.1	16.2		97.6	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.6	12.8	16.7	14.9	14.7
PHI	17.5	16.0	14.7	22.2	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mickael Pietrus	22	23	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.17	12	-25	37	13.3	15.1	-1.81	17.6	17.3	0.31
Kevin Garnett	55	56	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.16	9	-22	31	14.0	15.7	-1.70	19.0	14.5	4.53
Avery Bradley	28	28	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.08	-2	-11	9	13.9	15.0	-1.15	17.3	17.4	-0.07
Ryan Hollins	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.03	-1	-12	11	12.6	14.9	-2.30	16.6	17.4	-0.83
Sasha Pavlovic	8	6	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.07	2	-15	17	12.7	14.9	-2.13	21.8	17.0	4.82
E'Twaun Moore	8	6	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.07	2	-15	17	12.7	14.9	-2.13	21.8	17.0	4.82
JaJuan Johnson	13	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-13	13	14.6	14.7	-0.09	24.0	16.3	7.70
Keyon Dooling	37	34	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.01	-7	-6	-1	14.5	14.8	-0.30	18.6	16.6	2.02
Rajon Rondo	74	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.08	-13	0	-13	15.0	13.2	1.79	17.2	18.0	-0.81
Paul Pierce	71	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.05	-15	2	-17	15.1	13.2	1.85	15.9	22.5	-6.53
Greg Stiemsma	37	35	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.09	-20	7	-27	14.8	14.6	0.20	14.7	19.0	-4.28
Brandon Bass	59	59	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.06	-16	3	-19	15.6	12.9	2.71	15.5	20.9	-5.32
Marquis Daniels	36	36	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.10	-16	3	-19	15.5	14.2	1.34	18.3	16.7	1.67

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	58	60	0.68	-0.17	0.85	0.03	22	-9	31	15.3	21.1	-5.77	15.4	13.3	2.18
Elton Brand	53	52	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.02	17	-4	21	14.9	20.9	-6.01	15.2	14.1	1.12
Andre Iguodala	73	76	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.04	15	-2	17	16.2	22.3	-6.07	14.7	14.4	0.35
Thaddeus Young	53	55	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.07	8	5	3	19.0	14.9	4.02	14.7	14.7	0.04
Louis Williams	53	54	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.11	4	9	-5	19.3	14.4	4.95	14.5	15.0	-0.47
Spencer Hawes	53	54	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.03	3	10	-7	17.1	17.7	-0.65	14.5	14.9	-0.38
Jodie Meeks	30	31	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.05	1	12	-11	18.6	16.7	1.85	13.6	15.2	-1.59
Evan Turner	62	62	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.20	-5	18	-23	18.6	14.3	4.31	14.4	15.2	-0.81
Tony Battie	7	8	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	11	-9	20.1	17.1	3.05	14.7	14.7	0.06
Sam Young	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	20.3	17.2	3.10	12.0	14.8	-2.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.74,0.81,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 73, MIA 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.69,0.73,0.84,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
IND 79, MIA 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.69,0.77,0.84,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
CHA 92, LAL 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.55,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.88,0.92,0.84,0.93,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%