inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 94 Excitement5.0 [816] MVPMonta Ellis (DAL): +14.8%
Dallas Mavericks 101 Comeback4.2 [212] LVPTony Parker (SAS): -15.5%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard0.070,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.030.011650%0.0700.00683%0.01
Matt Bonner0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.002125%0.0600.0000%0.00
Danny Green0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.110.020.08885%0.081-0.02475%-0.01
Cory Joseph0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Reggie Williams-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Marco Belinelli-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00844%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeff Ayres-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.000.020100%0.001-0.032100%0.00
Tim Duncan-0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.00-0.020.01743%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Patty Mills-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00831%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.01650%0.023-0.06250%-0.00
Tiago Splitter-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.020.00657%0.034-0.102100%0.01
Boris Diaw-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.11-0.04-0.041233%-0.023-0.0800%0.00
Tony Parker-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.13-0.020.011133%-0.024-0.13250%-0.02

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Monta Ellis0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.150.150.160.040.052766%0.223-0.084100%0.01
Chandler Parsons0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.110.110.050.02-0.041256%0.141-0.03367%-0.02
Charlie Villanueva0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.020.001150%0.0600.0000%0.00
Richard Jefferson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.001150%0.0400.0000%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.020.02-0.041644%0.071-0.042100%0.00
Tyson Chandler0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.01-0.03475%0.043-0.0200%0.00
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.02-0.02850%0.032-0.022100%0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.01646%0.001-0.0210%-0.01
Raymond Felton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.000.01333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.01422%-0.011-0.0210%-0.00
Rajon Rondo0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.13-0.04-0.01520%-0.044-0.1200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.63.731.117.428.53.631.3139.3
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +42.1%
SAS -0.6%
DAL +3.6%
DAL +8.9%
SAS -4.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASDALNBASASDALNBA
this game14.613.915.192.2101.0104.2
season15.414.6106.9107.6
opponent15.014.9105.0101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS16.514.814.313.014.6
DAL13.514.012.815.213.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeff Ayres12120.00-0.500.51-0.176-131912.214.9-2.7815.813.62.21
Reggie Williams33-0.00-0.500.49-0.062-91111.714.7-3.0415.713.81.83
Cory Joseph33-0.00-0.500.49-0.062-91111.714.7-3.0415.713.81.83
Matt Bonner2224-0.01-0.490.49-0.062-91114.714.60.0814.813.61.19
Patty Mills4144-0.01-0.490.48-0.134-111514.314.9-0.5814.913.11.82
Marco Belinelli4041-0.15-0.350.20-0.06-3-4114.614.6-0.0314.513.50.97
Tiago Splitter5249-0.21-0.290.070.02-81-913.715.6-1.8512.515.2-2.71
Manu Ginobili3533-0.23-0.270.040.06-103-1315.014.40.5413.414.1-0.79
Boris Diaw5756-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.322-91115.513.61.9014.912.62.28
Tim Duncan5049-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.08-92-1115.014.30.7113.814.0-0.18
Danny Green6058-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.27-3-4114.514.7-0.1613.913.90.06
Kawhi Leonard7775-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.23-70-714.814.20.5513.315.6-2.23
Tony Parker5853-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.11-136-1915.014.10.9312.915.0-2.01

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Devin Harris55560.55-0.050.610.1414-72113.714.1-0.3614.614.7-0.14
Monta Ellis83860.440.060.370.3534-113.615.5-1.9814.515.4-0.90
Chandler Parsons85870.370.130.240.2252313.715.0-1.3114.415.9-1.54
Dirk Nowitzki64670.360.140.21-0.0815-82313.714.1-0.3914.215.4-1.23
Tyson Chandler64660.260.240.020.32-29-1113.215.2-2.0414.814.20.65
Al-Farouq Aminu42390.210.29-0.090.32-411-1515.512.72.7815.414.11.24
Charlie Villanueva880.190.31-0.130.0743113.213.9-0.7013.514.7-1.21
Raymond Felton17160.150.35-0.20-0.1510-31313.713.9-0.2215.914.41.49
Amar'e Stoudemire22230.030.47-0.450.11-310-1316.513.13.4014.614.6-0.07
Rajon Rondo5759-0.000.50-0.500.14-512-1713.314.7-1.4214.614.6-0.02
Richard Jefferson55-0.050.55-0.600.01-29-1116.813.73.0620.014.35.66


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.77,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 85, TOR 1130.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.37,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.82,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.2%
MIN 84, MIA 1110.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.5,0.45,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.73,0.77,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.1%
DEN 98, ATL 1060.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,194.6%