NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	106		Excitement	5.1 [805]		MVP	Andrew Bynum (LAL): +11.6%
Los Angeles Lakers	114		Comeback	4.8 [102]		LVP	Sasha Vujacic (LAL): -10.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.02	6	86%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.18	-0.02	0.12	14	83%	0.11	4	-0.07	8	75%	-0.01
Raja Bell	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	12	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	6	67%	0.08	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	15	50%	0.06	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.00	14	52%	0.04	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	2	100%	0.01	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	2	75%	0.03	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
James Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.03	6	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.04	0.01	11	67%	0.15	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.02	-0.02	13	61%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.05	-0.00	3	100%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.03	8	69%	0.10	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.11	-0.03	0.06	24	62%	0.14	5	-0.13	7	100%	0.02
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	7	64%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	56%	0.03	2	-0.07	8	50%	-0.03
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.8	33.4	19.6	23.3	1.6	32.5	139.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +19.7%

LAL +4.7%

LAL +31.4%

PHX -3.1%

PHX -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAL	NBA	PHX	LAL	NBA
this game	12.9	15.0	15.4	101.9	110.7	104.5
season	13.8	15.3		112.2	106.3
opponent	14.9	16.0		107.3	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	11.8	14.2	13.1	12.5	12.9
LAL	15.0	14.6	13.5	16.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	55	54	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.15	3	-11	14	12.7	13.1	-0.43	15.4	14.5	0.94
Amar'e Stoudemire	25	26	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-6	4	12.4	13.0	-0.63	14.5	15.1	-0.62
James Jones	29	28	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.12	-13	5	-18	14.6	12.2	2.42	13.8	15.4	-1.61
Raja Bell	71	70	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.30	1	-9	10	12.1	14.6	-2.54	15.1	14.7	0.39
Marcus Banks	41	42	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	0	-8	13.7	12.3	1.33	14.0	15.7	-1.70
Steve Nash	74	72	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.33	1	-9	10	12.9	12.8	0.06	15.3	14.2	1.14
Leandro Barbosa	79	80	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.18	-6	-2	-4	12.7	13.4	-0.74	15.1	14.6	0.45
Shawn Marion	81	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-8	8	12.8	13.1	-0.33	15.0	14.7	0.29
Boris Diaw	65	63	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.00	-16	8	-24	13.1	12.5	0.62	15.2	14.5	0.67

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	93	95	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.26	11	-3	14	15.0	14.7	0.29	12.9	12.7	0.23
Maurice Evans	64	63	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.27	7	1	6	14.6	15.5	-0.93	12.5	13.4	-0.85
Jordan Farmar	32	32	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.05	13	-5	18	13.8	15.5	-1.71	14.2	12.3	1.85
Vladimir Radmanovic	43	43	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.13	14	-6	20	14.1	15.6	-1.45	13.5	12.5	1.01
Brian Cook	33	32	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.08	12	-4	16	14.8	15.0	-0.21	14.2	12.3	1.90
Andrew Bynum	51	53	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.26	-1	9	-10	15.8	14.1	1.75	12.4	13.4	-1.01
Luke Walton	63	65	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.31	-5	13	-18	15.1	14.7	0.35	12.1	14.2	-2.09
Smush Parker	76	77	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.41	-9	17	-26	15.5	13.4	2.16	12.4	14.4	-2.02
Sasha Vujacic	52	53	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	9	-10	15.4	14.5	0.89	13.2	12.5	0.72
Ronny Turiaf	8	7	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.00	-1	9	-10	12.4	15.2	-2.80	14.3	12.8	1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.37,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.95,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 98, ATL 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.8%
HOU 81, DAL 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.33,0.45,0.59,0.52,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1	94.7%
SAS 94, DAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.77,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1	93.4%