NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	81		Excitement	4.5 [720]		MVP	Brandan Wright (DAL): +11.3%
Dallas Mavericks	90		Comeback	3.5 [590]		LVP	Patrick Patterson (HOU): -7.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luis Scola	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.04	-0.01	14	69%	0.13	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	3	57%	0.02	1	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Earl Boykins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Goran Dragic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	15	53%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Courtney Lee	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.04	13	38%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	9	39%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	-0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	14	48%	0.02	3	-0.07	3	33%	-0.02
Patrick Patterson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	7	14%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.04	0.05	7	87%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	-0.05	9	61%	0.10	3	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	5	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.05	14	43%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	3	100%	0.10	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominique Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.02	17	46%	0.02	1	-0.03	12	92%	0.02
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	8	44%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.3	28.4	16.8	23.5	2.0	27.3	122.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +35.1%

DAL +2.4%

DAL +5.3%

DAL +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DAL	NBA	HOU	DAL	NBA
this game	15.9	15.6	15.6	88.0	98.9	102.8
season	15.4	15.5		103.5	101.6
opponent	15.5	15.5		100.9	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.1	17.8	15.2	15.5	15.9
DAL	16.2	14.1	14.1	18.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	35	34	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.07	3	-12	15	15.6	16.1	-0.53	14.6	16.2	-1.57
Courtney Lee	69	67	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.22	4	-13	17	15.5	17.0	-1.52	16.3	13.5	2.81
Earl Boykins	28	29	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-5	1	16.0	15.8	0.19	16.3	15.2	1.08
Luis Scola	68	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-8	7	15.7	16.4	-0.70	15.7	15.2	0.47
Goran Dragic	74	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.24	-3	-6	3	15.3	18.4	-3.09	15.9	14.1	1.89
Patrick Patterson	39	38	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	1	-11	16.2	15.7	0.53	15.1	15.9	-0.76
Marcus Camby	32	31	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.02	-12	3	-15	17.6	15.0	2.55	15.4	15.7	-0.33
Chase Budinger	38	38	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.12	-10	1	-11	16.8	15.3	1.56	15.4	15.7	-0.35
Chandler Parsons	77	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.13	-12	3	-15	15.8	16.5	-0.67	15.0	18.6	-3.55

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	65	67	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.12	21	-12	33	15.5	15.7	-0.17	15.7	16.5	-0.85
Brandan Wright	56	56	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.17	13	-4	17	15.8	15.1	0.70	15.4	16.6	-1.21
Shawn Marion	52	54	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.13	7	2	5	16.5	14.3	2.21	15.4	16.6	-1.20
Lamar Odom	44	46	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.10	8	1	7	14.5	16.6	-2.12	16.0	15.8	0.11
Dirk Nowitzki	68	67	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.16	5	4	1	15.7	15.1	0.59	15.9	16.0	-0.19
Rodrigue Beaubois	51	51	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.13	6	3	3	15.7	15.4	0.22	15.8	16.0	-0.13
Jason Kidd	45	46	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.12	5	4	1	15.4	15.8	-0.43	16.4	15.4	1.07
Brian Cardinal	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	10	-11	7.0	15.7	-8.67	0.0	15.9	-15.90
Dominique Jones	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	10	-11	7.0	15.7	-8.67	0.0	15.9	-15.90
Ian Mahinmi	35	36	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	13	-17	15.1	15.8	-0.70	16.6	15.4	1.21
Vince Carter	37	37	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.14	-14	23	-37	15.9	15.3	0.63	16.5	15.5	0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.33,0.45,0.59,0.52,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 106, LAL 114	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.37,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.95,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
DEN 98, ATL 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.0%
POR 94, SAS 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.35,0.32,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.28,0.23,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.5%