NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	114		Excitement	2.1 [1282]		MVP	Aron Baynes (BOS): +8.2%
Atlanta Hawks	96		Comeback	1.0 [1214]		LVP	Taurean Prince (ATL): -5.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aron Baynes	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.00	0.02	7	84%	0.10	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Kyrie Irving	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.00	-0.05	11	54%	0.07	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jayson Tatum	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	11	64%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.06	10	40%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	7	69%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	11	55%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	7	56%	0.02	2	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00
Robert Williams III	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	2	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Wanamaker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	83%	0.00	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Guerschon Yabusele	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Theis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	87%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	6	29%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Semi Ojeleye	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.13	0.00	-0.12	11	33%	0.01	4	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.12	0.00	0.08	10	70%	0.04	1	-0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	8	44%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	8	80%	0.04	5	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Miles Plumlee	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omari Spellman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	10	52%	-0.02	1	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.09	0.00	0.12	7	77%	0.01	3	-0.04	8	62%	-0.02
Trae Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	7	33%	-0.02	3	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	13	47%	-0.02	4	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	-0.06	7	12%	-0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.4	31.3	14.4	26.3	1.8	33.0	135.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +31.1%

BOS +5.3%

BOS +6.9%

BOS +5.8%

BOS +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ATL	NBA	BOS	ATL	NBA
this game	14.1	12.7	14.3	105.6	89.7	109.3
season	13.9	13.6		109.9	107.2
opponent	13.9	14.7		112.6	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.4	13.2	15.6	13.3	14.1
ATL	14.4	13.4	12.1	11.0	12.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aron Baynes	48	48	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.12	16	2	14	15.2	13.2	1.99	13.5	12.0	1.45
Gordon Hayward	46	48	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.27	20	-2	22	13.0	14.9	-1.96	14.6	11.1	3.52
Jayson Tatum	48	48	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	8	2	15.8	12.7	3.08	13.0	12.4	0.65
Marcus Morris	52	51	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.09	7	11	-4	15.7	12.6	3.07	12.9	12.4	0.49
Kyrie Irving	43	43	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.00	9	9	0	14.8	13.6	1.22	13.2	12.3	0.84
Marcus Smart	51	49	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.20	15	3	12	14.0	14.2	-0.16	14.0	11.6	2.47
Semi Ojeleye	56	56	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.11	11	7	4	12.6	15.7	-3.07	12.4	12.9	-0.49
Terry Rozier	60	59	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.04	8	10	-2	12.7	15.8	-3.08	12.4	13.0	-0.65
Jaylen Brown	48	47	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.13	2	16	-14	15.2	13.2	1.99	11.9	13.3	-1.33
Daniel Theis	36	36	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.02	6	12	-6	12.4	14.9	-2.53	14.2	11.9	2.32
Guerschon Yabusele	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	16	-14	10.7	14.4	-3.75	6.8	13.2	-6.45
Brad Wanamaker	20	19	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	27	-36	13.8	14.2	-0.31	7.7	13.7	-6.01
Robert Williams III	22	22	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.20	-7	25	-32	14.9	13.9	1.01	8.5	13.8	-5.26

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	23	24	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.38	14	-32	46	10.7	13.2	-2.48	15.2	13.8	1.37
Miles Plumlee	12	12	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.06	-2	-16	14	7.7	13.3	-5.65	11.4	14.4	-3.02
Justin Anderson	41	42	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.36	12	-30	42	10.3	14.1	-3.79	14.5	13.9	0.61
Alex Len	43	45	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.74	22	-40	62	10.7	14.0	-3.36	15.6	13.0	2.64
Jeremy Lin	68	70	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.57	15	-33	48	11.0	15.5	-4.49	14.5	13.3	1.17
DeAndre' Bembry	58	59	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.44	9	-27	36	11.8	13.7	-1.87	14.2	14.0	0.26
Kent Bazemore	22	21	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-13	8	13.5	12.5	0.97	15.9	13.7	2.18
Omari Spellman	17	16	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.41	-21	3	-24	17.2	11.8	5.34	12.4	14.4	-1.95
Kevin Huerter	53	56	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.48	-26	8	-34	12.5	12.9	-0.38	12.6	15.8	-3.22
Taurean Prince	37	36	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.40	-24	6	-30	15.8	11.0	4.78	14.1	14.1	0.01
John Collins	67	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	-7	-4	12.2	13.5	-1.27	14.1	14.1	0.04
Trae Young	42	40	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.62	-35	17	-52	15.9	10.6	5.27	14.0	14.1	-0.08
Dewayne Dedmon	52	51	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.71	-38	20	-58	15.5	10.0	5.48	13.4	14.8	-1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 118, GSW 89	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
NYK 114, SAC 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
DEN 121, NOH 63	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%