NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	121		Excitement	1.5 [1312]		MVP	Nene (DEN): +7.0%
New Orleans Hornets	63		Comeback	1.1 [589]		LVP	Chris Paul (NOH): -6.3%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nene	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	5	93%	0.09	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	11	63%	0.06	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	17	63%	0.07	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Dahntay Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.00	9	60%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Chris Andersen	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.10	0.00	0.07	3	92%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Linas Kleiza	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	0.00	0.07	7	78%	0.02	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	8	37%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	40%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	0.00	0.06	8	75%	-0.01	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	10	54%	0.02	4	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	9	42%	0.00	2	-0.00	6	100%	0.01
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	2	50%	0.00	4	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	67%	-0.00	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01	3	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	60%	0.01	4	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	6	56%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Sean Marks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.17	-0.00	-0.10	7	29%	-0.02	6	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.8	35.2	17.3	31.4	0.8	29.4	144.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +38.9%

DEN +0.6%

NOH -0.3%

DEN +6.7%

DEN +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	NOH	NBA	DEN	NOH	NBA
this game	15.9	15.7	15.5	134.4	68.5	106.4
season	14.4	16.6		109.5	105.9
opponent	15.6	15.7		106.0	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	14.0	16.9	17.4	15.4	15.9
NOH	18.7	15.1	14.7	14.6	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carmelo Anthony	65	67	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.56	36	22	14	16.2	15.1	1.17	16.3	14.1	2.26
Kenyon Martin	60	61	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.60	37	21	16	16.4	14.9	1.48	16.1	14.9	1.20
Chauncey Billups	54	56	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.72	39	19	20	16.3	15.3	1.03	16.1	15.1	0.97
Nene	29	31	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.36	25	33	-8	13.7	17.0	-3.34	19.0	14.1	4.93
Dahntay Jones	48	49	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.64	34	24	10	16.0	15.8	0.17	16.4	14.9	1.54
Chris Andersen	42	43	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.53	22	36	-14	16.8	15.1	1.71	15.0	16.4	-1.41
J.R. Smith	42	42	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.45	19	39	-20	15.9	16.0	-0.12	14.9	16.4	-1.47
Anthony Carter	25	26	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.29	13	45	-32	15.5	16.1	-0.56	16.8	15.3	1.45
Linas Kleiza	31	31	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.67	24	34	-10	15.9	15.9	-0.08	14.0	16.6	-2.61
Renaldo Balkman	22	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.62	21	37	-16	14.9	16.3	-1.40	14.4	16.2	-1.79
Jason Hart	15	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.23	8	50	-42	15.9	15.9	0.01	12.0	16.5	-4.45
Johan Petro	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.35	12	46	-34	15.2	16.1	-0.85	13.1	16.3	-3.27

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Morris Peterson	24	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.59	-20	-38	18	14.6	16.1	-1.55	15.4	16.1	-0.69
Devin Brown	24	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.59	-20	-38	18	14.6	16.1	-1.55	15.4	16.1	-0.69
Julian Wright	24	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.59	-20	-38	18	14.6	16.1	-1.55	15.4	16.1	-0.69
Hilton Armstrong	24	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.59	-20	-38	18	14.6	16.1	-1.55	15.4	16.1	-0.69
Antonio Daniels	36	35	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.51	-20	-38	18	15.1	16.1	-0.97	15.0	16.5	-1.46
Sean Marks	34	32	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.38	-20	-38	18	15.1	16.1	-1.06	16.6	15.6	0.99
Tyson Chandler	23	24	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.23	-16	-42	26	18.8	14.7	4.07	14.2	16.5	-2.28
James Posey	43	42	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.36	-21	-37	16	14.7	16.7	-2.02	16.5	15.5	0.99
Rasual Butler	48	46	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.17	-18	-40	22	17.0	14.4	2.62	16.2	15.7	0.51
Peja Stojakovic	56	54	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.72	-39	-19	-20	16.1	15.1	0.97	16.3	15.3	1.03
David West	56	55	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.69	-38	-20	-18	16.1	15.1	0.97	16.5	15.0	1.46
Chris Paul	68	66	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.62	-38	-20	-18	16.1	14.6	1.55	16.1	15.4	0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 110, DET 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.15,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.9%
PHI 112, SAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	97.9%
CHI 108, NJN 87	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.9%