NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	114		Excitement	2.1 [1279]		MVP	Tim Thomas (NYK): +9.2%
Sacramento Kings	90		Comeback	1.0 [651]		LVP	Spencer Hawes (SAC): -6.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.03	0.02	8	69%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0.09	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.18	0.00	0.09	20	69%	0.12	3	-0.03	8	75%	0.01
David Lee	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.00	0.02	9	71%	0.09	1	-0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Nate Robinson	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	15	56%	0.04	2	0.00	4	25%	-0.00
Chris Duhon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	8	56%	0.03	4	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Jerome James	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Roberson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	83%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	11	30%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	9	56%	0.00	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	12	52%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Quincy Douby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	11	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	6	36%	-0.01	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bobby Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	7	37%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	12	40%	-0.01	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	16	41%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	0.00	-0.04	11	27%	-0.05	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	28.2	15.8	26.2	2.5	27.2	124.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +42.7%

NYK +1.7%

NYK +2.7%

NYK +2.5%

NYK +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SAC	NBA	NYK	SAC	NBA
this game	14.0	14.5	15.5	112.9	89.1	106.4
season	13.8	15.0		106.2	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.5		112.7	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.1	13.6	15.4	15.0	14.0
SAC	17.9	12.1	13.4	15.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wilson Chandler	77	78	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.00	16	8	8	14.3	13.3	0.98	14.6	14.1	0.50
Al Harrington	73	75	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.02	14	10	4	14.0	14.1	-0.14	14.6	14.2	0.33
David Lee	77	75	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.23	21	3	18	13.9	14.6	-0.77	14.4	14.7	-0.24
Nate Robinson	71	70	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.40	26	-2	28	13.8	14.6	-0.84	15.3	12.6	2.73
Tim Thomas	53	53	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.24	20	4	16	13.8	14.3	-0.44	15.1	13.7	1.38
Chris Duhon	65	66	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.03	9	15	-6	14.3	13.6	0.71	14.2	14.9	-0.67
Jared Jeffries	59	58	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.12	13	11	2	13.6	14.6	-0.95	13.8	15.4	-1.68
Jerome James	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	23	-22	16.0	13.9	2.13	11.4	14.7	-3.37
Malik Rose	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	24	-24	14.9	13.9	0.98	13.5	14.6	-1.15
Anthony Roberson	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	24	-24	14.9	13.9	0.98	13.5	14.6	-1.15

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Douby	14	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-22	20	13.6	14.6	-0.97	15.0	13.9	1.13
Shelden Williams	21	20	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-25	26	13.6	14.7	-1.08	13.9	14.1	-0.17
Mikki Moore	16	18	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-23	22	14.3	14.5	-0.19	13.5	14.2	-0.66
Donte Greene	46	45	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.20	-11	-13	2	13.8	15.1	-1.27	13.4	14.5	-1.07
Bobby Brown	28	30	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.13	-10	-14	4	14.4	14.5	-0.11	13.6	14.2	-0.67
Beno Udrih	59	57	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-24	24	14.1	15.0	-0.94	14.6	13.3	1.24
Bobby Jackson	38	38	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	-13	2	13.1	15.3	-2.15	13.5	14.3	-0.82
Jason Thompson	70	73	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.13	-12	-12	0	13.7	16.2	-2.43	14.4	13.0	1.44
Spencer Hawes	65	63	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.05	-12	-12	0	14.2	14.9	-0.64	14.2	13.8	0.36
Brad Miller	30	28	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.33	-24	0	-24	17.4	13.2	4.16	13.1	14.4	-1.24
Francisco Garcia	60	61	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.03	-14	-10	-4	15.1	13.5	1.58	14.4	13.5	0.89
John Salmons	58	57	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.29	-24	0	-24	15.9	12.6	3.30	13.9	14.2	-0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 127, WAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%
BKN 112, DEN 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%
BOS 114, ATL 96	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%