NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	92		Excitement	6.0 [646]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (SAS): +15.9%
San Antonio Spurs	104		Comeback	1.2 [866]		LVP	Kevin Durant (GSW): -11.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	-0.04	0.09	-0.05	26	47%	0.19	4	-0.09	1	0%	-0.01
Jonas Jerebko	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	3	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Quinn Cook	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.01	12	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Andre Iguodala	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Bell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacob Evans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damion Lee	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Damian Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	5	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kevin Durant	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	25	43%	-0.04	3	-0.07	10	90%	0.04

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.05	-0.00	16	67%	0.18	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.00	0.00	10	76%	0.18	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.08	-0.01	19	45%	0.10	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.03	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	15	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	12	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.4	26.2	15.5	26.6	2.4	27.4	126.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +24.6%

GSW -5.6%

SAS +19.5%

SAS +5.9%

SAS +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	SAS	NBA	GSW	SAS	NBA
this game	13.4	16.5	14.3	94.8	108.3	109.3
season	13.4	14.8		114.5	111.7
opponent	14.4	15.0		110.4	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.4	12.7	15.0	12.3	13.4
SAS	15.4	16.8	15.0	19.0	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaun Livingston	35	35	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.11	9	-21	30	12.3	13.9	-1.62	17.8	15.8	2.07
Jordan Bell	12	11	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.00	3	-15	18	13.6	13.3	0.27	18.1	16.3	1.79
Damion Lee	35	36	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.20	7	-19	26	12.7	13.7	-1.00	18.1	15.5	2.61
Jacob Evans	1	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-12	12	8.0	13.4	-5.41	21.0	16.5	4.54
Quinn Cook	58	56	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.05	-5	-7	2	12.9	13.9	-1.00	17.2	15.6	1.60
Kevon Looney	38	39	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.06	-9	-3	-6	13.6	13.2	0.46	16.9	16.2	0.65
Jonas Jerebko	52	52	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-6	0	14.1	12.4	1.69	15.6	17.6	-1.95
Damian Jones	47	46	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.19	-6	-6	0	13.1	13.6	-0.56	15.8	17.2	-1.36
Andre Iguodala	55	54	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.01	-17	5	-22	13.3	13.4	-0.05	15.8	17.5	-1.67
Klay Thompson	77	76	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.04	-17	5	-22	13.8	11.5	2.27	16.2	17.5	-1.25
Kevin Durant	75	74	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.09	-19	7	-26	13.5	12.8	0.69	16.0	18.4	-2.40

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gay	61	63	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.03	18	-6	24	15.8	17.8	-1.98	13.4	13.2	0.18
LaMarcus Aldridge	78	80	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.07	15	-3	18	16.4	17.1	-0.67	13.7	11.8	1.85
Patty Mills	50	51	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.00	17	-5	22	16.3	16.8	-0.48	12.9	13.8	-0.95
DeMar DeRozan	78	80	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.03	16	-4	20	16.7	15.8	0.83	13.8	11.0	2.85
Dante Cunningham	56	54	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.11	8	4	4	15.7	17.6	-1.82	14.3	12.1	2.22
Bryn Forbes	47	48	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.11	2	10	-8	16.9	16.2	0.67	13.9	12.9	1.00
Marco Belinelli	52	51	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.18	-3	15	-18	17.1	15.8	1.32	12.2	14.7	-2.52
Jakob Poeltl	18	17	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	15	-18	17.1	16.4	0.67	11.8	13.7	-1.85
Quincy Pondexter	6	6	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	14	-16	16.7	16.5	0.17	11.3	13.5	-2.15
Derrick White	34	35	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.14	-8	20	-28	17.6	15.9	1.71	12.6	13.8	-1.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 96, PHX 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.83,0.76,0.78,0.9,1,1,1,1	94.3%
GSW 91, CLE 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.72,0.76,0.88,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.93,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.66,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.97,1	94.3%
NJN 84, UTA 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.98,1	94.1%