NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	91		Excitement	6.1 [595]		MVP	Matthew Dellavedova (CLE): +21.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers	96		Comeback	1.0 [627]		LVP	Harrison Barnes (GSW): -20.0%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.03	0.02	4	85%	0.11	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.04
Stephen Curry	0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.07	20	67%	0.23	6	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.07	-0.03	0.01	12	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shaun Livingston	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	4	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	6	36%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Leandro Barbosa	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	16	44%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	10	30%	-0.10	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Harrison Barnes	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.19	-0.02	-0.01	8	0%	-0.14	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.21,0.21,0.22	0.22	0.02	0.16	-0.04	17	51%	0.25	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.04	-0.02	2	140%	0.14	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.10	0.01	34	50%	0.16	4	-0.07	12	83%	-0.01
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	6	62%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Mike Miller	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.01	2	0%	-0.08
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.04	0.02	9	56%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	6	50%	0.00	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	3.6	32.2	16.7	25.0	3.5	50.6	157.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +42.0%

CLE +4.4%

GSW -2.7%

CLE +4.0%

CLE +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	CLE	NBA	GSW	CLE	NBA
this game	13.9	17.0	15.1	97.8	103.2	104.2
season	13.6	15.9		109.2	108.7
opponent	14.9	15.5		104.1	99.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	16.2	13.2	14.6	12.1	13.9
CLE	16.5	18.9	19.0	14.5	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	19	18	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.16	11	-16	27	14.4	13.8	0.61	20.2	16.3	3.89
David Lee	29	30	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.30	15	-20	35	11.7	15.0	-3.31	14.8	18.1	-3.25
Shaun Livingston	25	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	1	-7	15.2	13.5	1.73	18.0	16.7	1.33
Andre Iguodala	71	71	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.42	6	-11	17	13.5	15.4	-1.93	16.5	18.8	-2.34
Andrew Bogut	30	31	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	4	-13	15.4	13.2	2.21	18.3	16.4	1.84
Harrison Barnes	38	36	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.04	-12	7	-19	14.8	13.3	1.49	17.5	16.7	0.81
Festus Ezeli	34	32	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.08	-9	4	-13	14.6	13.6	0.98	17.9	16.6	1.33
Klay Thompson	75	78	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.37	-1	-4	3	13.7	15.1	-1.46	17.0	17.1	-0.12
Stephen Curry	86	86	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.35	-6	1	-7	13.7	16.3	-2.54	16.6	22.7	-6.14
Draymond Green	58	61	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.16	-14	9	-23	13.9	14.1	-0.20	16.8	17.5	-0.76

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matthew Dellavedova	75	76	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.25	13	-8	21	16.3	19.9	-3.54	14.0	13.6	0.42
Tristan Thompson	86	84	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.27	12	-7	19	17.1	16.1	0.96	14.0	13.0	1.04
LeBron James	89	89	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.29	7	-2	9	17.1	14.5	2.65	13.9	14.0	-0.07
Iman Shumpert	67	65	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.48	-2	7	-9	17.0	17.2	-0.17	12.8	16.5	-3.72
Timofey Mozgov	64	64	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.23	3	2	1	16.2	18.8	-2.61	14.1	13.6	0.46
J.R. Smith	57	57	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.15	-2	7	-9	18.6	14.6	4.00	14.4	13.2	1.25
Mike Miller	9	9	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	4	-3	19.0	16.8	2.18	15.4	13.8	1.67
James Jones	18	21	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.11	-7	12	-19	16.2	17.2	-1.07	14.3	13.8	0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.72,0.76,0.88,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.93,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.66,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 101, LAC 109	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.68,0.61,0.69,0.58,0.59,0.68,0.63,0.65,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.84,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.99,0.98,1	94.5%
GSW 92, SAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.97,0.99,1	94.3%
NJN 84, UTA 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.98,1	93.7%