NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	84		Excitement	5.2 [764]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): +10.1%
Utah Jazz	91		Comeback	1.0 [1213]		LVP	Rodney Rogers (NJN): -15.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.00	11	73%	0.14	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.02
Jason Collins	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.06	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Kerry Kittles	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Lucious Harris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	7	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kenyon Martin	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	14	36%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15	-0.13	-0.05	-0.03	17	38%	-0.08	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.03
Rodney Rogers	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.03	0.00	9	29%	-0.12	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.01	12	64%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.02	12	56%	0.07	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.05
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	73%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	11	64%	0.09	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	12	38%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Curtis Borchardt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Raul Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	5	67%	0.01	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	8	45%	-0.03	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	1.8	26.3	15.4	25.3	1.8	39.0	130.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +29.8%

UTA +3.3%

UTA +29.1%

NJN -15.1%

UTA +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	UTA	NBA	NJN	UTA	NBA
this game	14.6	17.2	15.7	93.3	100.0	100.5
season	15.3	17.2		98.1	99.4
opponent	15.2	16.2		100.8	95.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.6	13.0	17.1	12.9	14.6
UTA	17.9	19.7	15.0	16.4	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Pack	18	17	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.16	7	-14	21	14.4	14.7	-0.28	15.2	17.6	-2.41
Rodney Rogers	35	37	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.12	4	-11	15	14.5	14.7	-0.25	17.3	17.1	0.17
Lucious Harris	49	48	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.20	4	-11	15	13.3	16.1	-2.82	16.8	17.6	-0.77
Aaron Williams	40	42	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.24	2	-9	11	13.3	15.6	-2.27	18.0	16.5	1.45
Jason Collins	50	49	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-9	2	-11	15.6	13.3	2.27	16.5	18.0	-1.45
Richard Jefferson	73	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.21	-6	-1	-5	14.2	16.4	-2.22	17.7	15.3	2.45
Kerry Kittles	52	54	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	6	-19	14.9	14.3	0.60	17.3	17.0	0.33
Jason Kidd	67	69	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.19	-12	5	-17	14.8	14.0	0.82	17.4	16.5	0.86
Kenyon Martin	66	67	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.23	-12	5	-17	15.8	11.5	4.30	17.0	17.7	-0.64

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Ostertag	64	62	0.69	-0.18	0.87	0.13	19	-12	31	17.1	17.4	-0.35	15.3	13.1	2.13
DeShawn Stevenson	50	48	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.07	16	-9	25	16.4	18.1	-1.73	15.7	13.3	2.40
Raul Lopez	54	55	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.07	15	-8	23	16.7	17.9	-1.17	15.6	13.0	2.59
Andrei Kirilenko	73	72	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.25	8	-1	9	16.6	19.6	-2.94	15.1	12.8	2.22
Matt Harpring	72	72	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.10	10	-3	13	17.9	14.4	3.58	15.2	12.3	2.92
Raja Bell	55	55	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.33	-7	14	-21	17.4	16.9	0.56	13.0	17.2	-4.19
Mo Williams	37	35	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.23	-8	15	-23	17.9	16.7	1.17	13.0	15.6	-2.59
Jarron Collins	22	23	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.12	-8	15	-23	17.2	17.2	0.04	12.6	15.3	-2.75
Curtis Borchardt	28	28	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.18	-10	17	-27	18.0	16.9	1.11	13.5	15.1	-1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 91, HOU 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.75,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.71,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.73,0.89,0.79,0.98,1,1	95.3%
TOR 102, MIA 107	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.87,0.85,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1	94.9%
POR 93, UTA 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.6%