NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	96		Excitement	6.0 [602]		MVP	Clifford Robinson (PHX): +16.2%
Phoenix Suns	110		Comeback	1.1 [1169]		LVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): -18.1%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cedric Ceballos	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.12	-0.05	0.02	19	72%	0.17	3	-0.12	8	75%	0.01
Greg Buckner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	10	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Michael Finley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.05	0.02	17	58%	-0.04	2	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	10	29%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	5	50%	-0.00	5	-0.10	2	0%	-0.02
Robert Pack	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	7	14%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.18	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.08	-0.02	14	36%	-0.05	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.19	0.00	0.03	17	73%	0.16	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.17	0.01	0.07	13	85%	0.13	2	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.00	13	64%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Luc Longley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	8	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mark West	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toby Bailey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	0.00	17	31%	-0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-0.00	16	38%	-0.09	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.3	25.2	15.7	26.0	1.8	31.3	126.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +25.2%

PHX +7.2%

DAL -9.3%

PHX +25.1%

PHX +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHX	NBA	DAL	PHX	NBA
this game	13.9	15.2	15.2	97.0	111.1	101.7
season	14.8	14.8		104.2	101.4
opponent	15.3	14.8		96.8	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.5	13.7	14.0	12.7	13.9
PHX	14.5	15.8	16.6	14.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Buckner	26	28	0.26	-0.76	1.02	-0.21	16	-30	46	12.6	14.4	-1.75	17.7	14.2	3.53
Sean Rooks	7	8	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.09	8	-22	30	13.3	14.0	-0.67	20.5	14.7	5.79
Robert Pack	47	48	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.26	10	-24	34	12.6	15.1	-2.42	16.2	14.3	1.91
Cedric Ceballos	66	67	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.20	3	-17	20	12.8	16.1	-3.32	15.4	14.7	0.64
Steve Nash	11	9	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.02	-8	-6	-2	12.5	14.1	-1.53	9.8	15.7	-5.94
Michael Finley	73	75	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.01	-11	-3	-8	14.1	13.5	0.61	15.6	13.8	1.78
Dirk Nowitzki	70	70	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.03	-18	4	-22	14.2	13.1	1.14	14.8	16.1	-1.30
Dennis Rodman	75	73	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.10	-21	7	-28	14.3	12.7	1.64	15.1	15.3	-0.22
Shawn Bradley	42	42	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.10	-22	8	-30	15.6	12.6	3.01	14.0	16.0	-1.97
Erick Strickland	78	75	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	0.08	-27	13	-40	14.5	11.6	2.91	14.1	18.5	-4.38

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	78	80	0.67	-0.17	0.85	-0.09	26	-12	38	14.8	16.8	-2.01	14.5	11.4	3.14
Anfernee Hardaway	89	91	0.64	-0.14	0.78	-0.06	24	-10	34	14.7	19.4	-4.69	14.1	12.1	1.94
Jason Kidd	75	78	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.02	18	-4	22	15.0	15.7	-0.69	14.3	12.5	1.82
Tom Gugliotta	89	91	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.10	10	4	6	15.4	13.4	1.98	13.6	17.6	-4.04
Luc Longley	43	42	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.01	8	6	2	15.7	14.8	0.83	15.0	13.1	1.89
Rodney Rogers	67	67	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.07	4	10	-6	15.1	15.3	-0.15	13.6	14.6	-1.01
Corie Blount	4	3	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	13	-12	13.0	15.3	-2.27	15.0	13.9	1.12
Mark West	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	15.0	15.2	-0.19	4.0	14.0	-10.01
Toby Bailey	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	15.0	15.2	-0.19	4.0	14.0	-10.01
Randy Livingston	24	21	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	18	-22	15.7	15.0	0.69	12.5	14.3	-1.82
Shawn Marion	22	20	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.19	-13	27	-40	17.5	14.5	2.92	11.9	14.4	-2.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.83,0.76,0.78,0.9,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 84, UTA 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.98,1	94.5%
GSW 92, SAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.97,0.99,1	94.3%
DEN 101, SEA 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.87,0.93,0.95,1,1,1	93.7%