NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	97		Excitement	5.4 [736]		MVP	Kent Bazemore (ATL): +12.3%
Dallas Mavericks	82		Comeback	2.0 [618]		LVP	Deron Williams (DAL): -19.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kent Bazemore	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.05	-0.05	6	50%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	-0.01	0.00	13	73%	0.15	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	10	52%	0.06	1	-0.03	9	78%	0.01
Dennis Schroder	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	15	59%	0.09	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Mike Muscala	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.01	0.06	7	69%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Taurean Prince	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Delaney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	6	33%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.04	10	52%	0.04	2	-0.05	13	85%	0.05
Kris Humphries	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.01	0.02	15	66%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	8	55%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Justin Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Salah Mejri	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Brussino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
J.J. Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	44%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	10	48%	0.07	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	3	0%	-0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	12	37%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.16	-0.04	-0.01	12	28%	-0.10	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.0	29.1	15.4	23.5	2.4	32.4	131.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +15.9%

ATL +18.0%

ATL +0.8%

ATL +16.2%

DAL -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DAL	NBA	ATL	DAL	NBA
this game	13.4	17.0	14.8	101.0	87.2	107.7
season	14.4	16.2		104.2	104.4
opponent	14.7	14.9		107.2	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.0	12.8	15.5	13.5	13.4
DAL	16.8	17.4	18.8	15.3	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	74	74	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.03	25	-10	35	13.6	12.5	1.11	17.6	14.6	3.05
Dennis Schroder	56	58	0.67	-0.17	0.84	-0.00	23	-8	31	13.7	12.9	0.82	17.3	16.5	0.86
Kent Bazemore	54	56	0.64	-0.14	0.79	-0.03	23	-8	31	13.4	13.3	0.12	17.5	16.2	1.28
Dwight Howard	62	64	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.04	15	0	15	12.9	14.1	-1.18	17.1	16.7	0.39
Tim Hardaway Jr.	62	57	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	11	-7	13.6	13.0	0.59	16.7	17.5	-0.85
Thabo Sefolosha	34	36	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.02	6	9	-3	13.9	13.0	0.91	17.3	16.8	0.54
Kris Humphries	12	10	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.01	-3	18	-21	13.7	13.3	0.36	15.1	17.2	-2.13
Malcolm Delaney	52	49	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.05	-2	17	-19	13.0	13.8	-0.77	16.2	17.9	-1.66
Mike Muscala	44	40	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.06	-7	22	-29	13.4	13.3	0.14	16.1	17.7	-1.61
Taurean Prince	30	26	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.08	-9	24	-33	12.1	13.9	-1.78	16.9	17.0	-0.11

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Powell	29	31	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.20	12	-27	39	15.6	17.6	-2.04	15.1	12.5	2.53
Devin Harris	29	31	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.09	7	-22	29	16.7	17.2	-0.50	12.5	13.7	-1.19
Salah Mejri	5	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-13	11	14.0	17.2	-3.17	11.6	13.5	-1.85
Justin Anderson	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-13	11	13.7	17.2	-3.56	12.7	13.4	-0.73
Nicolas Brussino	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-13	11	13.7	17.2	-3.56	12.7	13.4	-0.73
J.J. Barea	33	35	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.18	6	-21	27	16.5	17.3	-0.79	13.3	13.4	-0.11
Dirk Nowitzki	61	58	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.14	2	-17	19	17.2	16.7	0.51	14.1	12.2	1.98
Dorian Finney-Smith	44	47	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	-10	5	15.5	18.3	-2.73	13.3	13.4	-0.11
Seth Curry	27	28	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.02	-13	-2	-11	16.1	17.3	-1.20	12.9	13.6	-0.70
Deron Williams	55	55	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.07	-19	4	-23	17.7	16.1	1.62	13.5	13.2	0.28
Wesley Matthews	62	62	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.03	-16	1	-17	17.8	15.5	2.23	13.6	12.9	0.64
Harrison Barnes	57	59	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.02	-20	5	-25	17.9	15.6	2.27	13.1	13.8	-0.79
Andrew Bogut	56	57	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	0.03	-23	8	-31	18.1	15.3	2.83	12.6	14.4	-1.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.35,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.38,0.29,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 103, HOU 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.09,0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0	93.1%
DEN 91, NOK 81	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.18,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.3,0.33,0.2,0.09,0.08,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0,0	93.0%
CLE 116, TOR 112	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.16,0.11,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.25,0.16,0.08,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0	93.0%