NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	116		Excitement	5.7 [696]		MVP	Kevin Love (CLE): +19.7%
Toronto Raptors	112		Comeback	1.9 [518]		LVP	Jonas Valanciunas (TOR): -6.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.14	0.00	-0.05	18	67%	0.23	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
LeBron James	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.04	-0.01	26	56%	0.20	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.02
Channing Frye	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	-0.00	7	62%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Richard Jefferson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	83%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Liggins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	2	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Iman Shumpert	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	18	60%	0.11	6	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
JR Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.06	0.00	9	70%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lucas Nogueira	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	2	86%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	87%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.13	-0.02	0.08	14	69%	0.08	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	10	36%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.12	-0.03	0.09	23	58%	0.01	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.03
Norman Powell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	12	43%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	8	22%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.3	36.8	15.0	24.2	1.7	39.3	144.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +42.7%

CLE +1.3%

CLE +22.1%

TOR -18.8%

CLE +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	TOR	NBA	CLE	TOR	NBA
this game	15.9	15.1	14.8	123.4	121.7	107.7
season	14.9	15.2		113.5	110.0
opponent	14.9	14.7		106.9	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.9	14.8	16.2	16.7	15.9
TOR	16.1	13.4	17.3	13.9	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	85	82	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.34	9	-5	14	15.5	19.8	-4.32	15.2	13.9	1.33
Tristan Thompson	58	56	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.30	7	-3	10	14.4	18.2	-3.72	16.5	12.8	3.70
Kyrie Irving	72	70	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.45	1	3	-2	16.1	15.0	1.14	15.1	15.1	-0.01
Kevin Love	71	71	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.38	2	2	0	16.3	14.5	1.79	15.4	14.0	1.41
DeAndre Liggins	42	40	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	-8	20	14.9	16.6	-1.71	16.0	14.4	1.57
JR Smith	19	20	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.05	5	-1	6	15.8	15.9	-0.04	16.4	14.7	1.74
Mike Dunleavy	15	14	0.01	0.48	-0.47	-0.04	2	2	0	14.9	16.1	-1.20	15.4	15.0	0.32
Channing Frye	36	36	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	7	-10	18.2	14.4	3.72	12.8	16.5	-3.70
Richard Jefferson	32	31	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	7	-10	16.0	15.8	0.19	14.0	15.7	-1.69
Iman Shumpert	16	17	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.08	-7	11	-18	16.9	15.7	1.28	12.8	15.6	-2.85

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lucas Nogueira	29	30	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.14	8	-12	20	12.8	16.2	-3.40	16.3	15.7	0.68
Patrick Patterson	56	59	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.46	17	-21	38	13.1	18.1	-5.01	16.8	14.3	2.44
Norman Powell	10	11	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.00	1	-5	6	10.7	15.6	-4.92	14.8	16.0	-1.19
Terrence Ross	43	44	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.34	11	-15	26	13.2	16.8	-3.61	16.8	15.0	1.82
Cory Joseph	21	21	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.09	1	-5	6	16.2	14.7	1.49	18.1	15.2	2.92
Jonas Valanciunas	48	48	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.03	-16	12	-28	17.3	12.7	4.65	15.1	16.7	-1.57
DeMar DeRozan	73	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.34	-5	1	-6	15.4	13.9	1.50	16.1	15.2	0.85
Kyle Lowry	80	82	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.34	-5	1	-6	15.0	15.3	-0.28	15.3	20.0	-4.73
Pascal Siakam	36	35	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.07	-21	17	-38	18.1	13.1	5.01	14.3	16.8	-2.44
DeMarre Carroll	64	66	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.31	-11	7	-18	15.8	13.5	2.23	15.6	16.6	-1.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.16,0.11,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.25,0.16,0.08,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 90, IND 72	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.35,0.36,0.23,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.16,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
LAL 104, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0	94.7%
UTA 107, MIN 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.28,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.17,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.2,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0	94.5%