NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	104		Excitement	5.1 [752]		MVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): +7.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	91		Comeback	2.2 [739]		LVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): -14.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.02	27	54%	0.09	1	-0.02	11	64%	-0.00
Eddie Jones	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	13	57%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Elden Campbell	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	4	64%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Robert Horry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.00	5	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rick Fox	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.01	0.02	8	58%	0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Mario Bennett	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	12	47%	0.03	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Corie Blount	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.16	-0.02	-0.03	7	37%	-0.02	6	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Stanley Roberts	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	7	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	9	45%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	13	45%	-0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	11	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	44%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	16	45%	-0.05	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	0.00	17	37%	-0.08	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.7	28.2	17.6	25.2	2.6	36.5	139.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +49.6%

MIN -0.3%

LAL +3.4%

MIN -7.1%

LAL +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIN	NBA	LAL	MIN	NBA
this game	15.3	15.2	15.6	109.5	96.8	102.5
season	14.8	14.8		110.0	105.3
opponent	15.7	15.6		104.9	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.2	14.0	14.0	18.0	15.3
MIN	14.8	14.3	19.0	13.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Jones	81	80	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.06	16	-3	19	15.7	12.9	2.83	14.9	16.9	-1.94
Robert Horry	68	67	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.11	14	-1	15	15.0	15.9	-0.81	15.8	13.8	1.95
Kobe Bryant	53	53	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.00	10	3	7	14.7	16.0	-1.26	14.3	16.4	-2.15
Shaquille O'Neal	67	66	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.11	6	7	-1	16.0	13.4	2.62	15.4	14.7	0.75
Rick Fox	69	69	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.01	9	4	5	15.8	13.9	1.86	15.0	15.8	-0.87
Mario Bennett	17	15	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	8	-3	14.9	15.3	-0.40	19.9	14.3	5.63
Elden Campbell	37	37	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.07	6	7	-1	14.2	15.9	-1.73	15.0	15.4	-0.38
Derek Fisher	70	69	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	10	-7	14.7	16.8	-2.02	15.5	14.5	0.98
Sean Rooks	5	5	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	12	-11	19.6	15.0	4.57	8.2	15.6	-7.40
Corie Blount	8	9	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	18	-23	13.4	15.4	-2.07	14.2	15.3	-1.08

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Carr	12	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-13	13	11.7	15.7	-4.05	16.2	15.2	1.03
Tom Hammonds	43	42	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-16	19	14.2	16.0	-1.79	16.4	14.4	2.07
Terry Porter	52	52	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.15	-10	-3	-7	15.7	14.6	1.14	14.5	16.2	-1.62
Anthony Peeler	69	68	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.21	-1	-12	11	14.5	17.2	-2.78	15.4	14.9	0.59
Cherokee Parks	41	39	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-10	7	15.1	15.2	-0.10	14.2	16.0	-1.77
Stanley Roberts	49	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-6	-1	16.0	14.4	1.62	16.1	14.3	1.81
Sam Mitchell	59	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.04	-9	-4	-5	16.2	13.5	2.73	14.7	16.3	-1.54
Stephon Marbury	71	73	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.10	-18	5	-23	15.0	15.7	-0.65	15.6	14.1	1.48
Kevin Garnett	74	76	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.06	-20	7	-27	15.5	14.0	1.53	14.9	16.6	-1.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 88, POR 78	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.31,0.18,0.23,0.28,0.26,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
IND 104, LAL 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.13,0.16,0.1,0.17,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0	94.8%
MIA 108, DET 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.24,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.34,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.02,0,0,0	94.8%