NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	104		Excitement	5.7 [694]		MVP	George Hill (IND): +12.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	92		Comeback	1.2 [1151]		LVP	Manny Harris (LAL): -13.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	9	72%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.00	9	56%	0.09	0	0.00	9	33%	-0.09
David West	0.07	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.02	0.05	14	61%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Danny Granger	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	10	45%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	42%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
CJ Watson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	8	56%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Orlando Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	11	46%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Luis Scola	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	11	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.18	-0.00	-0.07	21	27%	-0.07	2	-0.05	9	56%	-0.04

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jodie Meeks	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	16	57%	0.14	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Ryan Kelly	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	48%	0.04	0	0.00	7	86%	0.03
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.02	19	54%	0.06	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	10	50%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Robert Sacre	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Marshall	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	0.03	11	48%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	16	35%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Manny Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	6	0%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	1.8	26.8	14.8	26.2	2.4	26.3	119.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +35.1%

LAL -14.3%

IND +16.9%

IND +12.6%

LAL -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	LAL	NBA	IND	LAL	NBA
this game	15.3	13.6	15.1	104.0	92.9	105.2
season	15.8	14.0		102.7	102.9
opponent	14.8	15.2		108.9	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.9	13.7	14.5	17.4	15.3
LAL	14.1	13.5	14.3	12.6	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	60	59	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.05	14	-2	16	15.9	14.4	1.52	13.4	13.9	-0.54
George Hill	60	60	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	0	12	15.7	14.7	1.02	13.4	14.0	-0.57
Paul George	70	70	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	2	8	15.5	14.8	0.73	13.8	13.1	0.74
Lance Stephenson	78	78	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.04	12	0	12	15.4	14.9	0.51	13.8	13.1	0.67
Roy Hibbert	60	59	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.08	9	3	6	15.9	14.5	1.39	13.9	13.2	0.76
Danny Granger	48	48	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.02	6	6	0	14.5	16.1	-1.64	13.5	13.7	-0.20
Ian Mahinmi	40	40	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.07	3	9	-6	14.5	15.9	-1.39	13.2	13.9	-0.76
CJ Watson	40	39	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	12	-12	14.7	15.7	-1.02	14.0	13.4	0.57
Luis Scola	40	40	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.10	-2	14	-16	14.4	15.9	-1.52	13.9	13.4	0.54
Rasual Butler	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	19.5	15.2	4.28	3.0	13.7	-10.73
Orlando Johnson	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	19.5	15.2	4.28	3.0	13.7	-10.73

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Hill	60	61	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-12	12	13.8	13.3	0.57	14.7	16.2	-1.51
Robert Sacre	25	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-10	8	14.0	13.5	0.45	13.2	16.2	-2.91
Nick Young	51	52	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-7	2	13.5	13.7	-0.24	14.1	16.7	-2.61
Manny Harris	36	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-8	4	13.9	13.4	0.50	14.5	15.8	-1.22
Wesley Johnson	63	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-4	-4	13.4	13.9	-0.50	15.8	14.5	1.22
Pau Gasol	74	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	-2	-8	13.5	14.0	-0.45	16.2	13.2	2.91
Jodie Meeks	68	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	-2	-8	13.7	13.4	0.30	15.3	15.2	0.12
Ryan Kelly	39	39	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	0	-12	13.3	13.8	-0.57	16.2	14.7	1.51
Kendall Marshall	79	79	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.15	-9	-3	-6	13.6	13.6	-0.03	16.1	12.3	3.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.13,0.16,0.1,0.17,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 107, BOS 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.28,0.26,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
NOH 97, CLE 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
LAL 104, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0	94.8%