NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	107		Excitement	5.1 [785]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (GSW): +16.6%
Boston Celtics	95		Comeback	1.4 [410]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -16.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.17	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.04	-0.04	19	66%	0.21	2	-0.04	6	33%	-0.07
Jason Richardson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.19	0.01	0.06	17	77%	0.14	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.02
Troy Murphy	0.10	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.01	10	75%	0.14	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Jiri Welsch	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	17	59%	0.07	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.02
Adonal Foyle	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	7	29%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kedrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	8	62%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Bremer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.02	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	13	52%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.07	7	75%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	20	54%	0.02	4	-0.09	6	67%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	12	41%	-0.08	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.05	-0.02	19	32%	-0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.5	26.4	15.4	25.5	2.4	24.3	118.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +46.7%

GSW +0.8%

GSW +22.3%

BOS -21.8%

GSW +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	BOS	NBA	GSW	BOS	NBA
this game	15.2	15.1	15.5	112.6	100.0	101.6
season	14.6	15.6		105.3	99.3
opponent	15.5	15.1		99.9	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.8	14.6	17.1	14.6	15.2
BOS	15.2	15.4	15.6	14.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Richardson	79	80	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.10	15	-3	18	15.3	14.9	0.43	14.8	16.3	-1.48
Gilbert Arenas	81	81	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.05	16	-4	20	15.6	13.1	2.53	14.9	16.1	-1.24
Troy Murphy	66	67	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.11	13	-1	14	15.7	14.2	1.52	15.8	13.4	2.45
Mike Dunleavy	17	18	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.01	9	3	6	13.1	15.7	-2.57	17.4	14.5	2.91
Erick Dampier	46	46	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.03	8	4	4	15.9	14.6	1.36	15.4	14.8	0.55
Antawn Jamison	82	81	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.20	2	10	-8	15.7	12.5	3.21	14.7	17.6	-2.92
Adonal Foyle	45	44	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.08	3	9	-6	14.4	15.9	-1.50	14.9	15.3	-0.41
Bob Sura	45	44	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	14	-16	14.5	15.9	-1.41	14.2	15.9	-1.72
Jiri Welsch	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	16	-20	10.0	15.3	-5.34	7.0	15.2	-8.17
Earl Boykins	12	13	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	12	-12	13.6	15.5	-1.89	16.8	14.8	2.04

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Long	18	21	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.27	10	-22	32	12.4	15.7	-3.33	16.0	15.0	0.99
Kedrick Brown	39	39	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.32	4	-16	20	15.2	15.0	0.25	15.7	14.9	0.87
Bimbo Coles	41	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.42	7	-19	26	14.5	15.5	-1.05	15.9	14.7	1.16
Mark Blount	43	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.32	3	-15	18	14.3	15.7	-1.34	16.3	14.3	1.97
Walter McCarty	62	61	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	-8	-4	-4	15.2	14.9	0.27	14.7	16.2	-1.56
J.R. Bremer	54	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.27	-19	7	-26	15.5	14.5	1.05	14.7	15.9	-1.16
Paul Pierce	77	78	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	1	-14	15.1	14.9	0.17	15.2	15.6	-0.43
Eric Williams	64	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.24	-22	10	-32	15.4	14.5	0.84	14.8	16.0	-1.22
Antoine Walker	77	74	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.12	-22	10	-32	15.7	12.4	3.33	15.0	16.0	-0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.28,0.26,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 97, ORL 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.43,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.24,0.22,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.4%
IND 104, LAL 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.13,0.16,0.1,0.17,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0	95.3%
NOH 97, CLE 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%