NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	90		Excitement	5.4 [714]		MVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): +18.4%
Indiana Pacers	72		Comeback	1.9 [251]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -21.1%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.13	0.05	-0.00	19	62%	0.21	1	-0.03	10	80%	-0.01
Rudy Gay	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.00	20	60%	0.19	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	12	76%	0.14	4	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Mike Conley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	7	44%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Andre Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Richardson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Lowry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Carlos Navarro	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.02	0.01	6	31%	-0.05	4	-0.11	4	25%	-0.04

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.01	0.01	9	68%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	4	40%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Travis Diener	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	12	42%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	17	42%	0.02	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	10	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	0.03	10	46%	-0.01	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Danny Granger	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	9	30%	-0.05	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.16	-0.05	-0.01	11	17%	-0.14	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.3	28.5	15.7	25.0	1.8	29.2	126.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +63.4%

IND -6.2%

IND -12.2%

MEM +2.9%

MEM +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	IND	NBA	MEM	IND	NBA
this game	16.1	14.1	15.4	93.8	75.8	105.7
season	14.9	13.8		103.3	104.5
opponent	15.2	14.9		105.6	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.2	15.6	15.3	18.2	16.1
IND	14.8	13.2	16.8	11.8	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	83	80	0.71	-0.21	0.93	-0.08	27	-9	36	15.5	19.6	-4.07	14.3	12.9	1.33
Rudy Gay	88	89	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.09	23	-5	28	16.0	16.9	-0.85	13.8	18.2	-4.39
Mike Miller	78	77	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.14	24	-6	30	16.0	16.7	-0.71	14.5	12.2	2.26
Mike Conley	66	67	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.13	23	-5	28	16.1	16.0	0.14	14.7	12.4	2.35
Darko Milicic	37	37	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.07	10	8	2	16.0	16.2	-0.20	17.1	12.1	4.96
Stromile Swift	51	48	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.00	2	16	-14	15.7	16.5	-0.79	13.8	14.3	-0.57
Andre Brown	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	23.5	15.9	7.56	7.3	14.3	-6.94
Jeremy Richardson	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	23.5	15.9	7.56	7.3	14.3	-6.94
Kyle Lowry	30	28	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	23	-28	16.0	16.1	-0.14	12.4	14.7	-2.35
Casey Jacobsen	26	25	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	23	-28	17.5	15.6	1.93	12.5	14.6	-2.13
Juan Carlos Navarro	17	18	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.03	-9	27	-36	17.2	15.8	1.39	11.6	14.6	-3.01

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	41	42	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.08	4	-22	26	13.3	14.6	-1.29	16.5	15.7	0.81
Travis Diener	6	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-16	14	7.3	14.5	-7.17	25.0	15.6	9.40
Ike Diogu	20	19	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-14	10	8.6	15.5	-6.91	19.0	15.4	3.62
Danny Granger	57	56	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.14	-10	-8	-2	14.5	13.3	1.23	16.5	15.6	0.89
Marquis Daniels	32	35	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.17	0	-18	18	13.0	14.6	-1.54	17.2	15.5	1.70
Kareem Rush	52	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.03	-7	-11	4	12.1	16.4	-4.28	17.0	15.0	1.98
Andre Owens	68	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.00	-11	-7	-4	15.4	10.8	4.58	14.9	19.2	-4.35
Jermaine O'Neal	65	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.08	-17	-1	-16	15.4	11.2	4.12	15.5	17.4	-1.85
Troy Murphy	56	58	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.03	-17	-1	-16	15.9	11.4	4.53	14.5	18.5	-3.98
Mike Dunleavy	78	77	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	0.15	-26	8	-34	14.2	13.6	0.57	16.0	16.6	-0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.35,0.36,0.23,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.16,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 116, TOR 112	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.16,0.11,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.25,0.16,0.08,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0	94.7%
LAL 104, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0	94.4%
UTA 107, MIN 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.28,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.17,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.2,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0	94.4%