NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	107		Excitement	5.4 [713]		MVP	Ronnie Brewer (UTA): +10.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	103		Comeback	1.5 [1002]		LVP	Oleksiy Pecherov (MIN): -11.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronnie Brewer	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.02	14	71%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	6	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	12	66%	0.08	4	-0.03	8	75%	0.01
CJ Miles	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	12	54%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	15	42%	0.02	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.02
Mehmet Okur	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	18	44%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Wesley Matthews	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	-0.02	0.04	15	64%	0.11	2	-0.07	3	33%	-0.03
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	8	61%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	56%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	8	72%	0.08	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Love	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	12	52%	0.03	1	-0.01	9	56%	-0.06
Jonny Flynn	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.03	6	64%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Corey Brewer	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.03	11	50%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Oleksiy Pecherov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.7	26.2	15.4	26.2	1.8	40.2	139.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +2.5%

UTA +4.8%

UTA +23.2%

UTA +17.3%

UTA +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIN	NBA	UTA	MIN	NBA
this game	16.3	13.8	15.3	112.6	107.3	106.0
season	15.3	14.7		109.5	100.1
opponent	14.8	15.0		109.8	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.3	15.9	15.0	17.2	16.3
MIN	14.0	14.8	13.2	13.4	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Boozer	73	75	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.27	12	-8	20	16.3	16.4	-0.11	14.1	12.8	1.32
Ronnie Brewer	80	80	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.32	8	-4	12	15.9	18.6	-2.70	13.5	15.4	-1.91
CJ Miles	52	54	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.04	13	-9	22	16.3	16.4	-0.08	14.9	12.5	2.30
Deron Williams	73	76	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.34	2	2	0	16.2	16.6	-0.34	13.6	14.9	-1.40
Mehmet Okur	66	67	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.17	5	-1	6	16.1	16.9	-0.82	14.0	13.4	0.62
Andrei Kirilenko	46	44	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.37	-8	12	-20	16.8	15.9	0.97	13.4	14.2	-0.89
Ronnie Price	22	20	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	2	0	16.6	16.2	0.34	14.9	13.6	1.40
Paul Millsap	51	50	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.32	-9	13	-22	16.7	15.9	0.78	13.2	14.6	-1.43
Wesley Matthews	12	14	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	9	-14	17.4	16.2	1.25	13.3	13.9	-0.65

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Oleksiy Pecherov	18	17	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.10	5	-9	14	13.4	13.9	-0.56	16.9	16.2	0.75
Ramon Sessions	52	50	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.44	11	-15	26	13.2	14.6	-1.34	16.6	16.0	0.62
Ryan Gomes	43	41	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.12	-1	-3	2	14.1	13.6	0.49	16.2	16.4	-0.19
Wayne Ellington	45	44	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	2	-8	14.0	13.7	0.38	16.1	16.5	-0.44
Ryan Hollins	28	28	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.07	-11	7	-18	13.9	13.8	0.07	16.1	16.4	-0.31
Corey Brewer	52	52	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-6	8	13.5	14.2	-0.75	16.2	16.5	-0.25
Kevin Love	73	74	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.44	4	-8	12	13.8	14.0	-0.26	16.5	15.8	0.66
Damien Wilkins	53	54	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.27	-3	-1	-2	13.6	14.1	-0.49	16.4	16.2	0.19
Jonny Flynn	44	45	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.06	-15	11	-26	14.6	13.2	1.34	16.0	16.6	-0.62
Al Jefferson	72	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.29	-6	2	-8	14.1	13.0	1.13	16.3	16.3	0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.28,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.17,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.2,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 108, HOU 94	0.5,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.05,0,0,0	95.0%
MIA 98, GSW 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.5,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0	94.9%
LAL 118, IND 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.22,0.19,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%