NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	108		Excitement	5.3 [755]		MVP	Trevor Ariza (LAL): +7.5%
Houston Rockets	94		Comeback	1.4 [703]		LVP	Metta World Peace (HOU): -19.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Ariza	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.01	7	72%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Shannon Brown	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Kobe Bryant	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.00	0.04	28	52%	0.05	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Andrew Bynum	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	6	43%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lamar Odom	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	11	73%	0.10	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	7	55%	0.04	1	-0.03	8	75%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0.01	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.01	11	45%	0.01	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	7	62%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	53%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	8	44%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Von Wafer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	10	36%	-0.03	2	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	14	51%	-0.03	3	-0.06	9	78%	0.01
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	11	42%	-0.04	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.04
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.04	-0.06	0.09	23	50%	-0.09	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	3.5	34.5	20.6	28.3	2.8	42.6	154.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +42.2%

LAL +3.1%

HOU -17.5%

LAL +22.3%

HOU -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	HOU	NBA	LAL	HOU	NBA
this game	14.8	15.9	15.5	114.9	101.1	106.4
season	14.9	16.3		110.6	105.9
opponent	15.2	15.4		102.7	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.1	16.0	14.7	15.4	14.8
HOU	17.4	13.5	19.6	14.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	87	85	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.03	17	-3	20	14.9	14.1	0.72	16.1	14.4	1.72
Jordan Farmar	65	64	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.08	18	-4	22	13.2	18.3	-5.06	16.4	15.0	1.38
Trevor Ariza	63	62	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.05	16	-2	18	14.5	15.5	-1.06	16.0	15.8	0.26
Lamar Odom	66	65	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.09	11	3	8	14.0	16.7	-2.71	16.8	13.9	2.94
Pau Gasol	70	69	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.00	13	1	12	14.4	16.1	-1.71	16.1	15.4	0.71
Luke Walton	36	37	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	12	-10	14.5	15.0	-0.45	15.5	16.2	-0.76
Andrew Bynum	24	24	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	13	-12	16.1	14.4	1.71	15.4	16.1	-0.71
Shannon Brown	29	29	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.17	-4	18	-22	18.3	13.2	5.06	15.0	16.4	-1.38
Sasha Vujacic	24	25	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.12	-3	17	-20	16.1	14.4	1.77	14.4	16.5	-2.17
Josh Powell	6	5	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	15	-16	23.0	14.2	8.75	12.2	16.2	-3.96

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Hayes	14	14	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-14	14	13.4	16.4	-2.96	15.9	14.6	1.32
Von Wafer	33	33	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-12	10	14.8	16.5	-1.70	17.0	13.6	3.42
Carl Landry	37	37	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.18	2	-16	18	15.6	16.2	-0.63	19.4	11.8	7.54
Kyle Lowry	44	45	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.10	-1	-13	12	14.3	17.4	-3.09	16.5	13.3	3.18
Aaron Brooks	56	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.10	-16	2	-18	16.2	15.6	0.63	11.8	19.4	-7.54
Luis Scola	56	55	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.14	-18	4	-22	16.4	15.2	1.21	12.3	18.3	-5.94
Shane Battier	81	83	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.09	-11	-3	-8	15.9	16.2	-0.35	14.7	16.0	-1.35
Yao Ming	72	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.21	-9	-5	-4	17.1	12.1	4.91	15.4	12.5	2.87
Metta World Peace	72	72	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.12	-15	1	-16	16.5	14.0	2.45	14.0	17.5	-3.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.05,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 98, MIN 90	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0	95.2%
UTA 107, MIN 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.28,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.17,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.2,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0	95.0%
MIA 98, GSW 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.5,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0	95.0%