NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	98		Excitement	5.0 [843]		MVP	Blake Griffin (LAC): +11.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	90		Comeback	1.2 [699]		LVP	Baron Davis (LAC): -13.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.01	20	62%	0.18	3	-0.07	7	71%	-0.02
Randy Foye	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.03	0.02	14	58%	0.11	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.03
Ryan Gomes	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.09	0.01	0.04	14	60%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DeAndre Jordan	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	44%	-0.00	1	-0.00	3	0%	-0.03
Chris Kaman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ike Diogu	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	59%	0.02	4	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00
Baron Davis	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.01	0.02	10	27%	-0.08	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	6	61%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Martell Webster	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Corey Brewer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Kevin Love	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.03	-0.03	0.07	12	56%	-0.00	2	-0.06	8	75%	-0.03
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.02	0.08	15	53%	-0.05	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	7	14%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	12	44%	0.00	4	-0.11	3	0%	-0.05
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	12	37%	-0.06	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	1.8	33.0	15.7	27.6	2.5	46.4	150.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +43.2%

LAC +0.6%

MIN -10.0%

LAC +13.7%

LAC +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIN	NBA	LAC	MIN	NBA
this game	16.6	14.2	15.5	105.4	95.7	105.7
season	15.4	14.3		104.4	102.7
opponent	15.1	15.3		109.5	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.8	16.4	18.0	15.6	16.6
MIN	16.7	13.0	15.5	12.1	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	64	65	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.28	9	-1	10	16.0	18.1	-2.13	14.6	13.2	1.41
Blake Griffin	87	89	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.25	9	-1	10	16.7	15.2	1.57	14.2	13.6	0.61
DeAndre Jordan	54	56	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.04	14	-6	20	18.1	14.6	3.48	14.9	13.1	1.76
Randy Foye	69	69	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.23	7	1	6	17.0	15.6	1.42	13.8	15.3	-1.55
Ryan Gomes	74	74	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.21	7	1	6	17.1	14.7	2.45	13.6	16.1	-2.50
Al-Farouq Aminu	19	20	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	7	-6	14.7	17.1	-2.45	16.1	13.6	2.50
Chris Kaman	21	20	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	7	-6	14.2	17.3	-3.16	13.7	14.3	-0.55
Eric Bledsoe	59	60	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	10	-12	16.2	17.4	-1.23	13.3	15.7	-2.44
Brian Cook	2	2	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	11	-14	21.5	16.5	4.97	18.5	14.1	4.41
Ike Diogu	16	15	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.05	-3	11	-14	16.5	16.7	-0.16	14.9	14.1	0.82

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Pekovic	14	13	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.09	6	-14	20	14.2	14.2	0.04	18.9	16.3	2.66
Anthony Tolliver	35	37	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.23	10	-18	28	14.2	14.2	0.03	17.2	16.2	0.97
Wesley Johnson	24	22	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.14	6	-14	20	12.2	14.9	-2.70	13.8	17.5	-3.69
Sebastian Telfair	34	33	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.36	13	-21	34	13.2	14.7	-1.53	15.8	17.1	-1.22
Corey Brewer	34	33	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	1	-10	14.5	14.0	0.55	17.6	16.1	1.55
Wayne Ellington	59	59	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.29	1	-9	10	14.1	14.3	-0.21	16.0	17.7	-1.64
Luke Ridnour	61	61	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.10	-21	13	-34	14.6	13.4	1.21	17.1	15.7	1.35
Martell Webster	76	77	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.18	-12	4	-16	14.1	14.4	-0.33	16.9	15.5	1.37
Kevin Love	65	63	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.15	-14	6	-20	13.9	14.8	-0.84	16.4	17.1	-0.69
Darko Milicic	68	67	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.00	-20	12	-32	15.2	11.5	3.65	16.7	16.4	0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 124, PHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
IND 88, PHI 69	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
LAL 108, HOU 94	0.5,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.05,0,0,0	95.2%