NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	124		Excitement	4.2 [957]		MVP	Ben Wallace (DET): +14.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	103		Comeback	1.4 [426]		LVP	Jason Kapono (PHI): -13.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Wallace	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.15	0.02	0.02	10	82%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Villanueva	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.23	0.00	0.10	11	89%	0.14	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Tayshaun Prince	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.02	8	78%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ben Gordon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	10	65%	0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	7	69%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Rodney Stuckey	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.02	0.04	17	56%	0.06	2	-0.04	9	67%	-0.02
Austin Daye	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	64%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
DaJuan Summers	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	-0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	56%	0.04	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.01	0.02	11	76%	0.14	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	-0.01	-0.04	13	62%	0.12	3	-0.05	8	87%	0.02
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	9	55%	0.06	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	6	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.03
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.01	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.05	0.04	10	55%	-0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.03	0.02	9	50%	-0.03	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.8	28.1	15.8	27.3	2.5	29.2	129.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +28.4%

PHI -2.2%

DET +7.5%

DET +16.2%

DET +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHI	NBA	DET	PHI	NBA
this game	16.1	15.0	15.3	131.9	113.2	106.0
season	16.8	15.1		104.0	104.2
opponent	15.8	15.2		108.4	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.6	16.9	15.0	16.9	16.1
PHI	15.7	13.7	17.1	13.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	52	49	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.10	24	-3	27	16.8	15.3	1.48	16.9	12.8	4.13
Jonas Jerebko	74	72	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.03	20	1	19	15.6	17.9	-2.34	15.5	13.3	2.21
Will Bynum	65	63	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.05	20	1	19	16.4	15.4	1.05	15.4	14.2	1.20
Ben Wallace	46	45	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.01	18	3	15	15.8	16.4	-0.51	16.7	13.3	3.41
Rodney Stuckey	72	71	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.11	19	2	17	16.2	15.8	0.44	15.6	13.0	2.51
Ben Gordon	54	51	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.07	3	18	-15	15.9	16.3	-0.42	13.5	16.9	-3.46
Austin Daye	47	46	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	21	-21	15.3	16.9	-1.62	13.5	16.6	-3.06
Charlie Villanueva	48	46	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.12	3	18	-15	16.4	15.8	0.51	13.3	16.7	-3.41
DaJuan Summers	12	12	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.08	-2	23	-25	17.9	15.8	2.08	11.5	15.5	-4.04

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Green	10	10	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.02	2	-23	25	14.3	15.1	-0.80	18.0	15.9	2.12
Lou Williams	47	49	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.14	-8	-13	5	13.5	16.6	-3.06	15.6	16.7	-1.16
Marreese Speights	60	64	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.13	-9	-12	3	13.8	17.3	-3.41	16.5	15.3	1.23
Jason Smith	55	57	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.03	-7	-14	7	14.1	16.3	-2.19	15.3	17.3	-1.96
Jodie Meeks	56	58	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.13	-12	-9	-3	14.4	16.1	-1.70	15.8	16.7	-0.91
Jason Kapono	72	75	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.07	-13	-8	-5	15.2	14.3	0.95	15.8	17.2	-1.38
Samuel Dalembert	23	23	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.03	-13	-8	-5	17.3	14.2	3.01	15.4	16.3	-0.89
Elton Brand	23	23	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.03	-13	-8	-5	17.3	14.2	3.01	15.4	16.3	-0.89
Jrue Holiday	57	58	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.11	-18	-3	-15	15.9	13.5	2.37	17.6	13.8	3.77
Andre Iguodala	52	53	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.06	-14	-7	-7	16.2	13.4	2.80	16.4	15.7	0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 98, MIN 90	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0	95.6%
MIL 100, NYK 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	95.3%
PHI 105, CHA 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%