NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	100		Excitement	5.0 [650]		MVP	Brandon Jennings (MIL): +14.8%
New York Knicks	86		Comeback	1.4 [358]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): -12.7%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Jennings	0.15	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.18	0.04	0.08	26	69%	0.19	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.00	0.02	10	75%	0.10	1	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Carlos Delfino	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	7	64%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Beno Udrih	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Brockman	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	4	10%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Drew Gooden	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	9	38%	-0.00	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	9	55%	0.02	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	6	43%	-0.01	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	5	30%	0.01	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Harrellson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	67%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	61%	0.02	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.04	-0.02	13	50%	0.08	5	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00
Landry Fields	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.04	-0.02	7	59%	0.06	3	-0.10	3	33%	-0.03
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	5	29%	-0.05	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.02	-0.04	6	17%	-0.03	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	0.03	-0.03	0.13	26	54%	-0.04	4	-0.09	13	85%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	30.6	16.6	27.3	2.4	33.6	136.2
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +42.3%

NYK -10.4%

MIL +2.0%

MIL +19.1%

NYK -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NYK	NBA	MIL	NYK	NBA
this game	15.6	13.2	15.6	99.0	86.9	102.8
season	14.6	14.9		103.8	102.3
opponent	15.7	15.6		100.2	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.8	14.8	14.4	18.3	15.6
NYK	13.4	12.8	14.4	12.2	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaun Livingston	71	69	0.64	-0.14	0.79	-0.00	22	-8	30	15.4	15.9	-0.46	13.3	13.0	0.29
Brandon Jennings	75	75	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.05	17	-3	20	14.9	17.4	-2.49	13.5	12.3	1.15
Ersan Ilyasova	48	47	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.07	15	-1	16	14.5	16.6	-2.09	13.5	12.9	0.55
Andrew Bogut	66	67	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.09	11	3	8	15.5	15.7	-0.21	13.8	11.9	1.96
Carlos Delfino	58	59	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.14	8	6	2	16.8	13.9	2.90	13.1	13.3	-0.16
Jon Leuer	15	13	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.05	5	9	-4	16.5	15.4	1.05	15.4	12.9	2.51
Drew Gooden	48	46	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.03	2	12	-10	15.2	15.9	-0.66	12.2	14.1	-1.88
Luc Mbah a Moute	52	51	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	12	-10	15.3	15.9	-0.55	12.9	13.5	-0.58
Jon Brockman	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	21.0	15.4	5.59	8.5	13.3	-4.80
Beno Udrih	23	22	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.04	-3	17	-20	17.0	15.2	1.79	12.7	13.4	-0.67
Mike Dunleavy	30	28	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	18	-22	15.2	15.7	-0.48	12.9	13.3	-0.43
Tobias Harris	16	16	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.01	-5	19	-24	17.0	15.3	1.69	12.1	13.4	-1.28

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Harrellson	35	39	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-17	20	12.4	13.6	-1.24	15.4	15.7	-0.31
Mike Bibby	17	17	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.06	1	-15	16	14.9	12.8	2.10	14.6	15.8	-1.19
Jared Jeffries	19	21	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.07	1	-15	16	13.4	13.1	0.27	14.7	15.8	-1.15
Toney Douglas	31	32	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.01	-2	-12	10	13.4	13.1	0.32	14.8	15.9	-1.07
Henry Walker	44	47	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-13	12	13.6	12.9	0.66	15.2	15.9	-0.72
Landry Fields	67	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.01	-9	-5	-4	12.5	14.6	-2.06	16.0	14.7	1.31
Iman Shumpert	61	62	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.00	-12	-2	-10	12.5	14.4	-1.94	16.7	13.8	2.90
Amar'e Stoudemire	78	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.05	-13	-1	-12	13.2	13.4	-0.23	16.1	14.0	2.04
Tyson Chandler	70	70	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	0.01	-19	5	-24	13.5	12.6	0.87	15.4	15.9	-0.43
Carmelo Anthony	73	74	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.04	-19	5	-24	13.8	11.4	2.46	15.0	17.2	-2.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 99, LAC 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.3%
DET 124, PHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
LAC 98, MIN 90	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0	94.8%