NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	88		Excitement	4.7 [896]		MVP	Orlando Johnson (IND): +10.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	69		Comeback	1.1 [624]		LVP	Evan Turner (PHI): -23.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Orlando Johnson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
George Hill	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.03	11	68%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David West	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	16	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
D.J. Augustin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Roy Hibbert	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	19	44%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Ian Mahinmi	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	8	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Paul George	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.01	0.02	13	44%	-0.01	2	-0.04	8	75%	-0.00
Sam Young	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	7	37%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arnett Moultrie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	9	67%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	8	56%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	13	44%	-0.01	3	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Nick Young	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	12	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	0.01	13	23%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.03	22	39%	-0.09	5	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.21	-0.05	-0.02	10	10%	-0.12	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.4	2.0	25.4	15.8	25.2	2.8	28.0	118.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +28.2%

IND +13.0%

IND +2.1%

IND +5.4%

IND +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHI	NBA	IND	PHI	NBA
this game	16.6	15.4	15.4	95.7	78.4	104.1
season	16.1	15.5		102.4	100.5
opponent	15.7	15.5		104.2	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.8	17.7	16.5	18.7	16.6
PHI	15.0	15.8	17.0	14.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	77	73	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.06	22	-3	25	16.4	17.3	-0.92	15.8	13.6	2.18
Roy Hibbert	65	61	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.18	22	-3	25	16.8	16.1	0.64	15.6	14.9	0.70
David West	58	56	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.02	12	7	5	17.0	15.9	1.13	15.1	16.0	-0.98
George Hill	64	61	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.11	14	5	9	17.0	15.6	1.38	15.3	15.6	-0.26
Lance Stephenson	57	55	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.02	10	9	1	17.1	15.7	1.42	15.0	16.1	-1.14
Orlando Johnson	35	33	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.04	9	10	-1	15.7	17.1	-1.42	16.1	15.0	1.14
D.J. Augustin	28	27	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	14	-9	15.6	17.0	-1.38	15.6	15.3	0.26
Tyler Hansbrough	34	32	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.04	7	12	-5	15.9	17.0	-1.13	16.0	15.1	0.98
Ian Mahinmi	27	27	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.13	-3	22	-25	16.1	16.8	-0.64	14.9	15.6	-0.70
Sam Young	15	15	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	22	-25	17.3	16.4	0.92	13.6	15.8	-2.18

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arnett Moultrie	38	39	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.12	-6	-13	7	15.3	15.5	-0.26	17.8	15.6	2.18
Dorell Wright	55	59	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-21	23	15.7	14.9	0.80	16.1	17.3	-1.20
Royal Ivey	9	10	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	-14	9	19.8	14.9	4.87	17.0	16.5	0.49
Kwame Brown	14	13	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.07	-6	-13	7	14.4	15.6	-1.25	13.8	17.0	-3.26
Jrue Holiday	75	79	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.01	-12	-7	-5	14.7	19.7	-5.03	16.6	16.6	-0.06
Spencer Hawes	63	66	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.08	-11	-8	-3	15.7	14.6	1.07	15.9	18.2	-2.27
Lavoy Allen	61	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	-4	-11	15.4	15.4	0.06	17.0	15.4	1.59
Evan Turner	53	53	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.17	-22	3	-25	15.3	15.6	-0.32	16.7	16.3	0.40
Nick Young	72	75	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.09	-20	1	-21	15.5	15.0	0.50	16.7	15.8	0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 78, TOR 68	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.04,0,0,0	95.3%
LAC 98, MIN 90	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0	95.3%
MIA 89, CHA 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0	95.3%