NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	78		Excitement	4.2 [967]		MVP	Chris Wilcox (LAC): +10.0%
Toronto Raptors	68		Comeback	1.3 [430]		LVP	Vince Carter (TOR): -16.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Wilcox	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.01	0.02	10	77%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Keyon Dooling	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	45%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Glen Rice	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	7	61%	0.05	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Chris Kaman	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	10	36%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Doug Overton	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.01	0.03	6	50%	-0.04	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Elton Brand	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.03	0.03	13	63%	0.06	7	-0.19	4	75%	-0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Archibald	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lonny Baxter	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	8	42%	-0.03	1	-0.03	3	0%	-0.04
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.04	-0.04	0.08	19	65%	0.03	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.04	0.03	10	50%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	5	17%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	18	32%	-0.10	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	2.6	28.8	1.8	28.2	2.5	28.5	114.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +19.7%

LAC +11.6%

LAC +9.2%

LAC +2.2%

LAC +7.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	TOR	NBA	LAC	TOR	NBA
this game	17.5	17.0	15.7	94.0	81.0	100.5
season	15.5	16.8		101.3	94.8
opponent	15.7	15.4		98.4	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.1	20.3	16.5	16.4	17.5
TOR	16.4	19.7	17.8	14.9	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Simmons	74	74	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.17	19	-9	28	16.7	23.7	-6.96	17.2	16.1	1.06
Elton Brand	70	71	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.14	11	-1	12	17.3	18.5	-1.28	15.9	23.5	-7.60
Doug Overton	59	60	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	-2	14	18.0	16.2	1.82	17.8	15.1	2.68
Marko Jaric	72	74	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.26	2	8	-6	17.5	17.5	0.00	17.1	16.6	0.49
Chris Wilcox	42	42	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.13	6	4	2	17.7	17.2	0.52	18.7	15.4	3.31
Glen Rice	47	47	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.11	2	8	-6	17.7	17.2	0.47	16.9	17.2	-0.23
Eddie House	24	24	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.16	-2	12	-14	16.2	18.0	-1.82	15.1	17.8	-2.68
Chris Kaman	8	8	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	9	-8	16.0	17.6	-1.61	19.4	16.8	2.59
Keyon Dooling	19	20	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	11	-12	20.7	16.5	4.18	16.3	17.2	-0.90

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roger Mason Jr.	11	13	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.13	7	-17	24	16.7	17.1	-0.35	22.5	16.5	5.93
Michael Curry	35	36	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.07	0	-10	10	19.0	15.6	3.37	18.8	16.4	2.43
Robert Archibald	11	10	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-7	4	19.8	16.6	3.20	18.5	17.3	1.18
Morris Peterson	50	49	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.16	-3	-7	4	17.8	15.9	1.84	17.4	17.5	-0.02
Alvin Williams	65	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-5	0	16.5	18.8	-2.33	16.9	19.3	-2.39
Donyell Marshall	52	52	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-2	-6	17.2	16.8	0.36	16.9	18.4	-1.43
Lonny Baxter	53	51	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	1	-12	16.3	18.2	-1.89	17.4	17.6	-0.17
Jalen Rose	69	68	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.17	-12	2	-14	16.3	20.6	-4.34	16.9	20.0	-3.10
Vince Carter	74	71	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.11	-15	5	-20	16.8	18.6	-1.78	17.2	19.2	-2.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.04,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 89, CHA 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0	96.2%
CHH 102, WAS 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.28,0.22,0.23,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
IND 88, PHI 69	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%