NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	89		Excitement	5.0 [830]		MVP	Mike Miller (MIA): +18.1%
Charlotte Bobcats	79		Comeback	1.2 [533]		LVP	Gerald Henderson (CHA): -27.4%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.02	0.03	15	81%	0.22	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Rashard Lewis	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.07	0.00	12	54%	0.09	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Bosh	0.02	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	14	53%	0.09	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Shane Battier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	6	23%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Norris Cole	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.06	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	4	50%	-0.04	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.02	6	64%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	57%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	15	33%	-0.04	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	12	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	0.05	17	47%	-0.07	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.26,-0.26,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.20	-0.07	0.00	16	27%	-0.17	4	-0.10	8	87%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	3.6	29.2	16.7	26.3	2.7	35.2	137.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +84.1%

CHA -8.5%

CHA -8.1%

CHA -18.0%

MIA +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	CHA	NBA	MIA	CHA	NBA
this game	15.7	17.3	15.4	101.1	90.8	104.1
season	15.7	15.6		110.2	99.9
opponent	15.4	15.9		109.8	102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	16.1	15.4	14.2	17.1	15.7
CHA	14.5	16.6	19.4	18.9	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	63	62	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.08	14	-4	18	14.4	18.8	-4.37	16.1	20.1	-3.97
Chris Bosh	67	67	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.28	2	8	-6	16.1	14.1	2.01	18.0	14.8	3.12
Mario Chalmers	53	51	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.12	7	3	4	14.9	16.9	-1.97	16.7	18.0	-1.27
Mike Miller	58	56	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.12	6	4	2	15.5	16.0	-0.50	16.3	18.9	-2.56
Udonis Haslem	34	34	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.14	5	5	0	14.9	16.2	-1.28	17.7	17.0	0.70
Chris Andersen	31	30	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.04	6	4	2	17.7	14.6	3.15	19.1	16.3	2.77
Shane Battier	48	48	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	8	-6	16.4	14.7	1.69	17.0	17.5	-0.52
James Jones	38	38	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.03	5	5	0	15.3	15.9	-0.62	18.4	16.4	1.98
Norris Cole	35	36	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.09	3	7	-4	16.9	14.9	1.97	18.0	16.7	1.27
Joel Anthony	13	13	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	10	-10	15.4	15.7	-0.34	15.2	17.6	-2.38

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jannero Pargo	19	18	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-14	18	17.8	17.1	0.75	18.3	15.0	3.28
Tyrus Thomas	28	29	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-12	14	19.2	16.3	2.94	16.4	15.3	1.06
Jeff Taylor	8	8	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-9	8	26.1	16.4	9.77	18.2	15.4	2.84
Ben Gordon	15	14	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.06	-6	-4	-2	15.2	17.7	-2.48	16.2	15.6	0.65
Reggie Williams	37	38	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-11	12	18.3	16.5	1.86	15.4	15.9	-0.49
Bismack Biyombo	48	48	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-9	8	17.2	17.4	-0.19	15.3	16.1	-0.88
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	69	69	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.18	-4	-6	2	16.3	20.9	-4.58	16.2	13.6	2.67
Gerald Henderson	69	70	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.13	-14	4	-18	16.5	20.2	-3.74	15.1	18.0	-2.93
Kemba Walker	73	75	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.21	-13	3	-16	17.4	16.6	0.73	15.4	17.5	-2.10
Josh McRoberts	69	71	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.10	-18	8	-26	16.8	19.1	-2.27	15.1	18.1	-2.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 78, TOR 68	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.04,0,0,0	96.2%
IND 88, PHI 69	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
SEA 109, LAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0	95.0%