NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	96		Excitement	7.4 [381]		MVP	Boban Marjanovic (SAS): +27.2%
Dallas Mavericks	91		Comeback	12.9 [43]		LVP	Boris Diaw (SAS): -12.6%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Boban Marjanovic	0.27	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27	0.15	0.13	0.02	9	85%	0.29	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.12
Kyle Anderson	0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.2	0.10	0.11	0.01	10	65%	0.20	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jonathon Simmons	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.1,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.05	0.00	14	51%	0.14	2	-0.07	9	56%	-0.08
Danny Green	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	11	52%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.04
Matt Bonner	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.04
Patty Mills	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.03	-0.02	4	37%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	9	33%	0.01	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.04
Boris Diaw	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.02	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.04,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.03	0.10	-0.02	17	43%	0.12	1	-0.04	10	80%	0.03
Justin Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	58%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.02	-0.00	5	90%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.03	-0.00	16	65%	0.14	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.06	-0.02	13	45%	0.09	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Salah Mejri	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	4	80%	0.07	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	14	39%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	1.8	27.2	15.7	26.3	2.5	41.3	136.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +19.8%

SAS +10.6%

SAS +16.0%

DAL -0.1%

SAS +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	DAL	NBA	SAS	DAL	NBA
this game	15.2	16.6	14.9	106.7	100.0	105.1
season	15.7	15.5		109.0	105.0
opponent	14.7	14.7		106.5	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.4	16.7	14.3	15.5	15.2
DAL	16.9	16.8	17.0	15.8	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Green	49	51	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.19	21	-16	37	15.3	15.1	0.19	17.7	15.3	2.39
Andre Miller	51	52	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.20	18	-13	31	15.2	15.2	-0.01	17.7	15.1	2.60
Kyle Anderson	60	61	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.08	17	-12	29	14.6	16.4	-1.85	16.2	17.5	-1.27
Boban Marjanovic	66	64	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.33	2	3	-1	16.5	11.5	5.05	18.2	12.9	5.25
Jonathon Simmons	58	59	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.53	-9	14	-23	15.3	15.0	0.36	15.5	18.6	-3.05
Matt Bonner	40	41	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.11	10	-5	15	14.8	15.5	-0.63	18.4	15.2	3.19
Boris Diaw	39	40	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.24	-3	8	-11	14.6	15.7	-1.08	15.3	17.6	-2.35
Patty Mills	40	40	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.14	-12	17	-29	14.8	15.5	-0.63	15.0	17.9	-2.88
Kevin Martin	47	47	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	0.16	-19	24	-43	15.0	15.5	-0.51	15.0	18.4	-3.38

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Lee	14	15	0.21	-0.71	0.91	-0.09	10	-15	25	15.4	16.8	-1.49	14.4	15.4	-0.96
Salah Mejri	20	20	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.00	3	-8	11	17.7	16.3	1.39	15.8	15.0	0.77
Wesley Matthews	78	75	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.28	9	-14	23	16.5	17.1	-0.54	15.1	15.7	-0.64
Dwight Powell	8	6	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-4	3	11.1	17.1	-6.02	13.7	15.3	-1.64
Justin Anderson	60	57	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.12	-10	5	-15	16.5	16.9	-0.39	14.7	16.1	-1.36
Charlie Villanueva	30	29	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	1	-7	15.8	17.0	-1.27	15.1	15.3	-0.19
Dirk Nowitzki	66	66	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.18	-5	0	-5	16.5	17.0	-0.59	14.7	16.7	-2.06
Raymond Felton	63	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.53	4	-9	13	15.7	18.7	-3.03	15.5	14.5	0.98
Zaza Pachulia	51	52	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.32	-14	9	-23	18.3	14.4	3.91	16.3	13.7	2.53
Deron Williams	65	66	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.41	-15	10	-25	17.6	14.3	3.28	15.4	14.7	0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.34,0.31,0.46,0.15,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 92, BKN 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.57,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.69,0.6,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.04,0	91.5%
TOR 122, MEM 114	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.87,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.79,0.77,0.69,0.41,0.46,0.14,0.22,0.03,0.02,0	91.5%
OKC 111, MEM 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.6,0.54,0.31,0.46,0.32,0.04,0	91.4%