inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 111 Excitement7.3 [364] MVPJeff Green (OKC): +45.4%
Memphis Grizzlies 103 Comeback5.4 [60] LVPRudy Gay (MEM): -35.0%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeff Green0.450,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.45,0.450.120.32-0.011269%0.481-0.028100%0.05
Desmond Mason0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.150.080.070.00673%0.1500.00333%-0.02
Joe Smith0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.070.080.00771%0.1400.0000%0.00
Damien Wilkins0.050,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.010.070.001146%0.081-0.032100%0.02
Chris Wilcox0.020,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00475%0.041-0.0100%0.00
Russell Westbrook0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.040.011148%0.072-0.05367%0.01
Nick Collison0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.0000%0.0100.0000%0.00
Kevin Durant-0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.08-0.040.051662%0.173-0.181687%0.05
Earl Watson-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.05-0.100.01650%-0.003-0.16683%0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.14,0.140.140.030.11-0.00675%0.172-0.0400%0.00
Marc Gasol0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.080.020.01880%0.162-0.054100%0.02
O.J. Mayo0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.06,0.06,0.070.070.10-0.030.012261%0.133-0.075100%0.03
Javaris Crittenton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.010.05-0.01444%0.0500.00837%-0.13
Greg Buckner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.02-0.01650%0.0400.0000%0.00
Hakim Warrick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.00175%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.012100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Mike Conley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.010.003114%0.113-0.081100%0.00
Darko Milicic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.02-0.002100%0.063-0.0600%0.00
Rudy Gay0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.2,-0.33,-0.33,-0.35-0.35-0.12-0.220.001742%0.045-0.39450%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.32.527.515.328.52.330.5132.9
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +8.7%
OKC +22.2%
MEM -5.7%
OKC +23.7%
OKC +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCMEMNBAOKCMEMNBA
this game15.216.115.5120.7112.0106.4
season14.916.1100.5101.7
opponent15.315.1107.6106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC15.216.015.714.015.2
MEM14.815.318.616.016.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Russell Westbrook72720.63-0.130.760.2513-51815.414.41.0216.215.80.33
Jeff Green59600.500.000.500.2971615.514.70.7816.615.21.46
Earl Watson59570.470.030.440.3253215.015.6-0.6416.415.70.68
Kevin Durant75740.430.070.370.2662414.916.4-1.4215.717.9-2.28
Desmond Mason60590.370.130.250.3226-414.316.8-2.5315.916.5-0.59
Damien Wilkins55580.160.34-0.18-0.0880815.514.70.8716.016.3-0.25
Chris Wilcox26270.130.37-0.25-0.0253217.014.52.5217.615.52.10
Joe Smith3939-0.080.58-0.66-0.05-19-1015.415.10.3315.216.8-1.61
Nick Collison1514-0.110.61-0.710.04-513-1813.915.5-1.5915.916.2-0.30

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Conley57580.15-0.650.800.005-131816.215.90.2716.313.42.88
Darko Milicic35340.13-0.630.750.072-101214.317.2-2.8514.515.6-1.06
Hakim Warrick28280.02-0.520.540.020-8817.615.42.2116.114.81.26
Darrell Arthur1516-0.01-0.490.470.04-2-6415.116.3-1.1716.714.91.88
Javaris Crittenton3435-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.22-3-5215.916.2-0.3615.714.90.74
Marc Gasol4545-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.15-6-2-417.314.92.4016.114.31.79
O.J. Mayo8281-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.21-91-1016.016.7-0.6614.917.3-2.36
Greg Buckner4748-0.510.01-0.53-0.34-6-2-416.315.90.4313.816.7-2.94
Rudy Gay8281-0.520.02-0.53-0.28-80-815.917.9-2.0115.314.60.64
Kyle Lowry3534-0.650.15-0.80-0.27-135-1815.916.2-0.2713.416.3-2.88


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.6,0.54,0.31,0.46,0.32,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 90, SAS 850.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.7,0.65,0.39,0.32,0.55,0.43,0.15,093.4%
ATL 102, BOS 960.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.74,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.25,0.02,093.4%
UTA 92, BKN 900.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.57,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.69,0.6,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.04,092.8%