NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	92		Excitement	7.5 [321]		MVP	CJ Watson (BKN): +12.9%
Brooklyn Nets	90		Comeback	5.6 [107]		LVP	Deron Williams (BKN): -17.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.15,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	15	53%	0.15	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	10	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Gordon Hayward	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02	-0.04	0.05	-0.00	3	78%	0.13	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.04
Marvin Williams	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	11	46%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DeMarre Carroll	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	11	52%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Enes Kanter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.06	0.03	0.02	17	50%	0.10	5	-0.14	4	100%	0.03
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	5	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	0.00	6	75%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.00	0.01	15	62%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	12	52%	0.04	0	0.00	7	86%	0.06
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	67%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.06	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1	-0.10	0.00	-0.10	-0.00	10	52%	-0.04	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	4	10%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Deron Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,0,0,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.06	-0.11	0.01	12	47%	0.01	3	-0.19	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.7	26.3	15.4	24.7	2.4	32.8	125.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +32.7%

BKN -8.1%

UTA +19.5%

BKN -1.2%

UTA +7.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	BKN	NBA	UTA	BKN	NBA
this game	16.2	16.9	15.4	105.7	103.4	104.1
season	16.0	16.5		104.6	106.5
opponent	15.4	15.1		104.2	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.2	14.6	15.1	19.4	16.2
BKN	15.8	16.7	16.9	18.5	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Williams	67	66	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.44	7	-5	12	15.8	17.3	-1.51	16.4	18.5	-2.11
Al Jefferson	57	59	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.44	5	-3	8	16.2	16.2	-0.02	17.1	16.6	0.41
Gordon Hayward	38	37	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.50	1	1	0	16.6	15.9	0.70	17.4	16.6	0.85
Derrick Favors	45	43	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.39	3	-1	4	16.9	15.4	1.46	17.5	16.4	1.12
DeMarre Carroll	30	32	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.48	-3	5	-8	17.2	15.6	1.55	17.3	16.7	0.67
Paul Millsap	49	49	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.08	8	-6	14	15.2	17.4	-2.24	16.8	17.0	-0.19
Marvin Williams	56	55	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.06	5	-3	8	15.7	17.1	-1.37	16.7	17.3	-0.67
Randy Foye	50	51	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	1	0	15.8	16.7	-0.86	16.4	17.6	-1.23
Jamaal Tinsley	20	21	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.00	-5	7	-12	17.3	15.8	1.51	18.5	16.4	2.11
Enes Kanter	23	22	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.06	-12	14	-26	16.9	15.9	0.99	16.0	17.2	-1.23

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
MarShon Brooks	28	29	0.29	-0.79	1.08	-0.03	11	-13	24	17.2	16.8	0.38	17.5	15.5	2.00
CJ Watson	25	23	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.07	10	-12	22	17.1	16.8	0.28	17.0	15.9	1.05
Reggie Evans	34	33	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.07	7	-9	16	17.6	16.5	1.05	17.6	15.3	2.24
Andray Blatche	28	29	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.02	-1	-1	0	18.4	16.2	2.23	16.0	16.3	-0.33
Keith Bogans	14	14	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.08	-7	5	-12	18.4	16.6	1.80	14.2	16.6	-2.35
Joe Johnson	74	72	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.47	6	-8	14	16.7	18.0	-1.27	16.2	16.1	0.14
Brook Lopez	55	54	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.36	-3	1	-4	16.5	17.7	-1.21	16.7	15.3	1.37
Kris Humphries	52	54	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.38	-11	9	-20	16.7	17.3	-0.66	15.3	17.6	-2.24
Deron Williams	64	65	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.46	-10	8	-18	16.6	17.8	-1.23	15.9	17.1	-1.27
Gerald Wallace	61	62	-0.82	0.32	-1.15	-0.47	-12	10	-22	16.5	17.8	-1.32	15.7	17.4	-1.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.57,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.69,0.6,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 111, MEM 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.6,0.54,0.31,0.46,0.32,0.04,0	92.8%
DAL 98, UTA 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.67,0.58,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.65,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.43,0,0	91.9%
SAS 96, DAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.34,0.31,0.46,0.15,0.08,0	91.5%