NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	79		Excitement	3.6 [1117]		MVP	Zaza Pachulia (DAL): +5.7%
Dallas Mavericks	91		Comeback	1.2 [1170]		LVP	Shane Larkin (BKN): -12.5%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	8	57%	0.03	0	0.00	7	100%	0.03
Andrea Bargnani	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	-0.01	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markel Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.04	21	53%	0.03	2	-0.04	11	73%	-0.01
Sergey Karasev	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	11	57%	0.02	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.07	11	55%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	13	37%	-0.07	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Shane Larkin	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	-0.00	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.03	10	62%	0.10	3	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Salah Mejri	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	3	70%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	10	59%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	15	63%	0.11	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	13	46%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	7	56%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Dwight Powell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	14	28%	-0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.4	27.1	14.8	24.3	1.7	31.6	123.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +54.0%

BKN -3.3%

DAL +4.2%

BKN -5.4%

DAL +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	DAL	NBA	BKN	DAL	NBA
this game	15.6	16.6	14.9	87.8	102.2	105.1
season	15.0	15.5		101.9	105.0
opponent	14.7	14.8		106.5	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	17.5	16.1	14.3	14.8	15.6
DAL	16.8	15.9	15.1	18.8	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markel Brown	2	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-12	12	7.5	15.8	-8.28	24.0	16.5	7.50
Thomas Robinson	9	8	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-10	8	14.9	15.7	-0.79	19.4	16.3	3.07
Joe Johnson	68	69	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.33	6	-18	24	15.7	15.2	0.55	16.7	16.1	0.62
Donald Sloan	65	64	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.29	4	-16	20	15.9	14.9	1.00	16.7	16.3	0.42
Sergey Karasev	7	8	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.09	-10	-2	-8	15.0	15.7	-0.65	16.1	16.6	-0.50
Brook Lopez	68	69	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.36	4	-16	20	15.9	14.5	1.40	16.6	16.5	0.11
Shane Larkin	35	35	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.04	-10	-2	-8	15.0	16.0	-1.03	15.6	17.2	-1.67
Thaddeus Young	76	75	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.28	0	-12	12	15.5	16.0	-0.47	16.6	16.4	0.27
Wayne Ellington	61	58	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-4	-4	15.8	15.2	0.58	16.4	16.8	-0.39
Andrea Bargnani	22	22	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.22	-19	7	-26	15.8	15.5	0.23	15.5	16.9	-1.44
Bojan Bogdanovic	37	36	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.21	-25	13	-38	15.3	15.8	-0.51	17.1	16.2	0.88

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raymond Felton	46	47	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.08	23	-11	34	16.7	16.4	0.32	15.5	15.7	-0.19
Wesley Matthews	64	65	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.10	7	5	2	16.2	17.5	-1.30	15.7	15.4	0.22
Zaza Pachulia	58	60	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.18	3	9	-6	16.7	16.4	0.30	16.3	14.2	2.15
Jose Juan Barea	46	45	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.12	5	7	-2	17.7	15.4	2.30	14.8	16.4	-1.51
Deron Williams	58	60	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.16	3	9	-6	16.1	17.4	-1.28	16.1	14.6	1.45
Chandler Parsons	62	62	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.16	3	9	-6	16.5	16.7	-0.17	16.0	14.7	1.23
Justin Anderson	21	22	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	7	-2	17.5	16.3	1.23	15.3	15.7	-0.37
Charlie Villanueva	14	14	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.06	8	4	4	15.9	16.7	-0.86	14.9	15.7	-0.80
Dirk Nowitzki	56	55	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	10	-8	15.6	18.2	-2.64	16.0	15.0	0.94
Salah Mejri	18	18	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	11	-10	17.2	16.4	0.80	12.8	16.3	-3.46
Dwight Powell	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	27.5	16.3	11.17	7.5	15.8	-8.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.74,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 106, ORL 111	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.82,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,1	95.4%
MEM 86, HOU 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.7,0.76,0.87,0.8,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.3%
GSW 73, DAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.86,0.78,0.73,0.67,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%