NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	106		Excitement	4.2 [997]		MVP	Terrence Ross (ORL): +15.9%
Orlando Magic	111		Comeback	1.3 [1072]		LVP	Dorian Finney-Smith (DAL): -5.9%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Brunson	0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.00	0.02	11	78%	0.13	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0.04	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	65%	0.07	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.00	0.07	11	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	17	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Salah Mejri	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	6	62%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Justin Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.02	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.07	20	53%	0.05	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.03
Courtney Lee	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	6	25%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	5	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.16	0.00	-0.00	16	69%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.04	-0.03	9	67%	0.13	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	8	78%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Gordon	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	-0.01	-0.04	15	51%	0.08	3	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	10	48%	0.02	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	17	53%	0.05	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Khem Birch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	2	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Wes Iwundu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	1.7	29.2	14.8	24.2	2.4	24.2	123.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +33.4%

ORL +0.2%

ORL +10.6%

ORL +3.9%

ORL +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	ORL	NBA	DAL	ORL	NBA
this game	14.7	14.7	14.3	108.2	113.3	109.3
season	14.7	14.9		108.5	107.2
opponent	14.3	14.1		107.2	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	17.2	14.0	14.6	13.2	14.7
ORL	13.5	13.2	16.0	16.1	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trey Burke	22	21	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.25	5	-10	15	13.6	15.0	-1.44	15.6	14.4	1.13
Dirk Nowitzki	39	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-5	5	13.6	15.5	-1.89	13.5	15.6	-2.10
Dwight Powell	67	69	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.23	1	-6	7	13.9	16.4	-2.41	14.4	15.4	-1.04
Jalen Brunson	62	64	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-4	3	14.2	15.6	-1.39	14.5	15.0	-0.44
Justin Jackson	44	43	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.06	-6	1	-7	15.0	14.5	0.50	13.6	15.6	-2.01
Dorian Finney-Smith	51	51	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.26	0	-5	5	14.9	14.5	0.33	15.8	13.4	2.42
Tim Hardaway Jr.	60	58	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-2	-1	15.4	13.6	1.88	15.8	13.1	2.68
Salah Mejri	31	29	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.13	-6	1	-7	16.4	13.9	2.41	15.4	14.4	1.04
Courtney Lee	49	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.06	-10	5	-15	14.8	14.6	0.14	13.1	16.4	-3.27
Luka Doncic	65	64	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.23	-5	0	-5	15.2	13.7	1.52	15.4	13.3	2.13

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrence Ross	61	60	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	3	-1	13.3	16.9	-3.55	14.5	15.1	-0.57
Nikola Vucevic	69	69	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.34	0	5	-5	15.5	12.7	2.88	14.9	14.3	0.61
Wes Iwundu	41	41	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.11	8	-3	11	14.8	14.6	0.17	15.2	14.4	0.80
Jerian Grant	43	42	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.04	13	-8	21	12.6	16.3	-3.75	14.9	14.6	0.27
Jonathan Isaac	60	61	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	1	3	15.9	12.8	3.05	15.1	14.1	1.00
Aaron Gordon	66	66	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.11	6	-1	7	14.1	15.8	-1.68	14.6	14.9	-0.25
Evan Fournier	66	66	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.32	-5	10	-15	15.3	13.3	1.99	14.3	15.4	-1.09
D.J. Augustin	55	56	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.39	-8	13	-21	16.3	12.6	3.75	14.6	14.9	-0.27
Khem Birch	29	29	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.01	5	0	5	12.7	15.5	-2.88	14.3	14.9	-0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.82,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 79, MIA 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.9%
CHI 90, WAS 115	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
DEN 76, MIN 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.76,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.8%