NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	86		Excitement	3.8 [1030]		MVP	Shane Battier (MEM): +9.0%
Houston Rockets	97		Comeback	1.5 [931]		LVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): -16.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.03	11	68%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	10	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Owens	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Humphrey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.04	7	71%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Archibald	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	40%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	8	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	11	52%	0.02	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Stromile Swift	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	13	37%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Mike Batiste	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	7	37%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.02	0.03	12	38%	-0.10	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	14	64%	0.11	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Terence Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.16	0.00	0.10	9	94%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	8	67%	0.06	3	-0.04	8	100%	0.03
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	5	30%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	16	53%	0.04	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.00	-0.02	6	56%	0.03	6	-0.13	6	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	25.4	15.4	25.6	2.3	29.6	124.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +37.4%

HOU +9.8%

HOU +8.2%

MEM -6.8%

HOU +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	HOU	NBA	MEM	HOU	NBA
this game	14.9	15.8	15.5	91.5	103.2	101.6
season	15.3	16.3		101.8	101.7
opponent	15.4	15.2		100.4	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.5	15.0	18.0	11.3	14.9
HOU	13.3	17.0	14.1	18.7	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Owens	12	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.18	6	-17	23	8.5	15.8	-7.32	20.5	15.0	5.46
Ryan Humphrey	23	22	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.06	-8	-3	-5	15.1	14.8	0.33	16.2	15.6	0.56
Earl Watson	32	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-11	11	14.5	15.1	-0.58	17.7	14.7	3.02
Jason Williams	51	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-7	3	16.1	13.5	2.57	14.8	16.8	-1.96
Shane Battier	60	60	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	-5	-1	15.0	14.6	0.46	15.1	16.9	-1.72
Stromile Swift	60	62	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.13	-4	-7	3	15.0	14.6	0.46	15.8	15.7	0.01
Mike Batiste	34	32	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-4	-3	14.6	15.0	-0.46	15.7	15.8	-0.01
Robert Archibald	33	31	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-4	-3	15.0	14.8	0.23	15.5	15.9	-0.31
Brevin Knight	43	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-4	-3	13.5	16.1	-2.57	16.8	14.8	1.96
Wesley Person	53	54	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	0	-11	15.9	13.5	2.43	14.4	17.5	-3.12
Pau Gasol	69	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-4	-3	15.1	14.4	0.66	15.5	16.5	-1.06

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cuttino Mobley	82	83	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.03	20	-9	29	14.8	22.0	-7.16	15.3	12.1	3.16
James Posey	66	65	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.02	18	-7	25	14.3	19.3	-5.03	15.8	12.9	2.82
Steve Francis	71	70	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.11	9	2	7	15.4	16.8	-1.36	15.9	12.0	3.93
Eddie Griffin	50	49	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.04	13	-2	15	13.8	18.0	-4.22	16.6	13.0	3.61
Kelvin Cato	52	52	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.22	1	10	-9	17.3	13.8	3.52	12.8	17.4	-4.56
Yao Ming	42	42	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.05	10	1	9	13.8	17.3	-3.52	17.4	12.8	4.56
Glen Rice	41	42	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.24	-4	15	-19	18.2	13.8	4.41	13.0	16.4	-3.36
Moochie Norris	31	31	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.22	-5	16	-21	18.8	14.3	4.55	12.8	15.9	-3.15
Terence Morris	35	36	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.23	-7	18	-25	18.6	14.1	4.53	12.1	16.6	-4.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.7,0.76,0.87,0.8,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 84, DET 91	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
MIA 89, GSW 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
CLE 74, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%