inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 89 Excitement3.5 [1091] MVPStephen Curry (GSW): +11.1%
Golden State Warriors 104 Comeback1.3 [1272] LVPMario Chalmers (MIA): -8.0%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luol Deng0.100,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.080.01-0.011163%0.101-0.00862%0.00
Shawne Williams0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.01462%0.031-0.0100%0.00
Chris Andersen0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
James Ennis0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.00267%0.021-0.022100%0.00
Chris Bosh0.000,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.06-0.000.061859%0.073-0.078100%0.03
Justin Hamilton0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tyler Johnson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.020100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Norris Cole-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.02540%-0.002-0.0300%0.00
Danny Granger-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Hassan Whiteside-0.060,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.010.001050%0.003-0.0600%0.00
Shabazz Napier-0.070,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.010.03756%0.013-0.07475%-0.01
Mario Chalmers-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.00-0.01933%-0.042-0.043100%0.01

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Curry0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.200.010.091974%0.173-0.06560%0.01
Klay Thompson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.00-0.031753%0.081-0.002100%0.01
David Lee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.01-0.01567%0.0700.002100%0.01
Leandro Barbosa0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.020.00764%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Justin Holiday0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.000.00564%0.0500.0010%-0.01
Andre Iguodala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.01590%0.063-0.0400%0.00
Marreese Speights0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.02940%-0.011-0.012100%0.00
Draymond Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.08-0.00-0.05735%-0.012-0.02367%-0.00
Andrew Bogut0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.000.03167%-0.011-0.024100%0.00
Harrison Barnes0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.080.00-0.03617%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.42.527.214.828.22.432.5131.0
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +28.0%
MIA -2.5%
GSW +5.2%
GSW +17.2%
GSW +2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAGSWNBAMIAGSWNBA
this game16.714.515.195.7114.3104.2
season16.013.6102.4109.2
opponent15.515.399.7105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA17.719.016.014.516.7
GSW10.817.015.315.514.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Justin Hamilton340.00-0.500.500.03-1-141311.016.9-5.9317.714.43.36
Tyler Johnson340.00-0.500.500.03-1-141311.016.9-5.9317.714.43.36
Chris Andersen2423-0.09-0.410.33-0.121-161716.816.70.0715.214.30.85
Shawne Williams3534-0.10-0.400.30-0.131-161715.917.3-1.3715.414.01.44
James Ennis2627-0.15-0.350.19-0.01-5-10514.717.5-2.8515.814.01.81
Danny Granger2726-0.19-0.310.12-0.07-4-11715.917.1-1.2514.114.7-0.59
Shabazz Napier6462-0.23-0.270.04-0.02-7-8117.315.61.6813.816.1-2.25
Norris Cole3130-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.03-9-6-316.217.0-0.7716.013.82.13
Chris Bosh6463-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.01-10-5-517.215.81.3814.315.0-0.67
Luol Deng6665-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.05-10-5-517.116.01.1013.916.1-2.21
Mario Chalmers6764-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.01-13-2-1117.215.51.7814.115.5-1.39
Hassan Whiteside5553-0.40-0.10-0.310.09-172-1917.515.71.8314.314.9-0.57

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marreese Speights38400.400.100.29-0.0716-11714.714.50.2115.917.4-1.48
David Lee42430.390.110.270.06114715.114.11.0316.616.8-0.21
Andre Iguodala57580.360.140.230.1096315.013.71.3316.317.5-1.24
Leandro Barbosa33340.340.160.190.02114715.613.91.6316.716.8-0.10
Stephen Curry63630.280.220.06-0.04114714.115.5-1.4416.517.3-0.82
Justin Holiday22230.230.27-0.050.08510-517.413.63.7317.716.41.27
Klay Thompson64660.150.35-0.200.06312-913.517.1-3.6116.716.9-0.15
Harrison Barnes40410.140.36-0.22-0.1396314.214.8-0.6517.016.50.51
Draymond Green49500.110.39-0.27-0.00411-714.115.1-1.0316.816.60.21
Andrew Bogut47470.100.40-0.300.22-419-2314.115.0-0.8117.815.72.11


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOK 96, PHI 1020.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.95,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,196.0%
MIA 88, CLE 1140.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.8,0.8,0.88,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%
ATL 84, DET 910.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%