NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	73		Excitement	4.0 [1057]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (DAL): +15.9%
Dallas Mavericks	101		Comeback	1.0 [1237]		LVP	Dorell Wright (GSW): -9.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monta Ellis	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	18	46%	0.10	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Acie Law	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	20%	0.00	0	0.00	4	0%	0.00
Jeff Adrien	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	75%	0.00	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Al Thornton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	7	44%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	8	31%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	7	57%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	45%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Curry	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	12	41%	-0.02	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
Dorell Wright	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	8	37%	-0.00	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.01	-0.00	11	77%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	15	62%	0.12	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	3	75%	0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	4	44%	0.01	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	10	45%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	0.03	11	56%	0.03	5	-0.09	5	80%	-0.01
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	0.00	-0.04	7	25%	-0.04	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	2.6	25.8	16.7	26.5	2.4	30.2	132.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +25.8%

DAL +4.4%

DAL +8.1%

DAL +10.3%

DAL +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	DAL	NBA	GSW	DAL	NBA
this game	14.5	15.2	15.5	75.3	104.1	105.7
season	14.8	15.7		106.6	108.5
opponent	15.7	15.2		103.8	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.8	14.0	13.1	15.1	14.5
DAL	15.5	14.8	16.4	14.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Radmanovic	17	18	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.10	-3	-25	22	10.5	15.3	-4.85	16.4	14.9	1.44
Jeff Adrien	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-25	22	11.2	14.7	-3.53	16.7	15.1	1.61
Lou Amundson	29	30	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.36	-15	-13	-2	13.6	14.9	-1.32	14.0	15.7	-1.71
Reggie Williams	31	33	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.20	-11	-17	6	12.9	15.2	-2.26	15.3	15.2	0.09
Ekpe Udoh	59	60	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-27	26	13.6	15.8	-2.16	16.6	12.9	3.67
Acie Law	15	15	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.09	-10	-18	8	14.1	14.5	-0.40	14.7	15.3	-0.65
Stephen Curry	62	62	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.02	-8	-20	12	14.5	14.5	0.03	15.3	15.1	0.25
David Lee	63	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.23	-18	-10	-8	15.7	12.3	3.36	14.7	16.1	-1.47
Al Thornton	49	47	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.35	-27	-1	-26	15.2	13.7	1.56	14.3	16.1	-1.74
Monta Ellis	82	80	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.27	-26	-2	-24	15.3	10.1	5.21	15.0	16.4	-1.45
Dorell Wright	72	72	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.02	-18	-10	-8	15.0	12.9	2.09	15.4	14.6	0.88

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	65	66	0.61	-0.11	0.73	-0.24	29	-1	30	14.4	16.9	-2.47	14.7	13.9	0.79
Peja Stojakovic	38	38	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.29	25	3	22	14.9	15.4	-0.49	16.1	13.4	2.64
Jason Terry	52	52	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.17	19	9	10	14.3	16.2	-1.88	14.9	14.0	0.93
Jose Juan Barea	42	44	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.23	18	10	8	14.5	15.8	-1.35	14.2	14.7	-0.58
Tyson Chandler	57	56	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.03	9	19	-10	15.3	15.0	0.28	14.4	14.6	-0.23
DeShawn Stevenson	33	32	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.01	8	20	-12	15.5	15.0	0.50	14.5	14.5	-0.01
Ian Mahinmi	40	41	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.35	19	9	10	15.0	15.3	-0.28	14.6	14.4	0.23
Jason Kidd	49	48	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.08	4	24	-20	16.4	14.0	2.33	14.3	14.7	-0.36
Corey Brewer	24	24	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.14	5	23	-18	13.9	15.6	-1.73	12.5	15.1	-2.62
Rodrigue Beaubois	54	53	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.25	7	21	-14	16.0	14.3	1.68	14.2	14.8	-0.55
Brian Cardinal	31	31	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.03	-3	31	-34	17.3	14.2	3.10	13.9	14.7	-0.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.86,0.78,0.73,0.67,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 91, CHI 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.86,0.9,0.82,0.83,0.73,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
BKN 79, DAL 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.74,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
PHX 97, UTA 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.1%