NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	95		Excitement	9.5 [101]		MVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): +32.3%
Milwaukee Bucks	96		Comeback	3.7 [321]		LVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): -43.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.00	-0.01	12	73%	0.13	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	6	64%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
JaVale McGee	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	17	53%	0.22	2	-0.17	4	100%	0.11
Justin Anderson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.00	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	12	46%	0.07	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Dwight Powell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	7	57%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	8	17%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Raymond Felton	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.17,-0.09,-0.21	-0.05	-0.17	-0.01	10	41%	-0.03	2	-0.18	2	50%	-0.01
Deron Williams	-0.41	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.00	5	42%	-0.32	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.02,0.02,0.32	0.32	0.10	0.22	0.00	18	60%	0.34	1	-0.02	9	78%	-0.07
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.04	0.01	9	89%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Parker	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	9	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.01	8	65%	0.18	3	-0.21	1	0%	-0.01
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	12	47%	0.01	3	-0.08	8	62%	-0.03
Rashad Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	6	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.03	-0.03	10	36%	-0.01	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.02
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.25,-0.43	-0.43	-0.14	-0.30	-0.00	8	25%	-0.20	3	-0.23	4	25%	-0.23

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.0	29.2	15.6	28.3	2.6	34.3	137.4
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +52.1%

DAL -20.3%

MIL +13.4%

DAL -3.8%

MIL +8.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MIL	NBA	DAL	MIL	NBA
this game	16.5	15.5	14.9	104.4	107.9	105.1
season	15.5	14.8		105.0	102.8
opponent	15.3	14.7		107.2	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.1	16.8	16.4	16.6	16.5
MIL	13.2	15.1	17.9	16.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Villanueva	6	5	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.02	3	-4	7	18.2	16.4	1.80	20.6	15.2	5.40
Justin Anderson	8	8	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	0	-1	14.2	16.7	-2.45	16.7	15.4	1.37
Chandler Parsons	44	41	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.08	-1	0	-1	16.5	16.4	0.08	14.3	16.5	-2.16
Deron Williams	46	45	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.37	8	-9	17	16.0	17.0	-0.93	15.8	15.2	0.64
Dirk Nowitzki	66	67	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.63	15	-16	31	16.1	17.4	-1.32	15.8	14.6	1.15
JaVale McGee	22	24	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	2	-5	15.4	16.8	-1.42	14.4	15.9	-1.55
Dwight Powell	14	15	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.04	-9	8	-17	17.6	16.3	1.37	14.7	15.7	-1.01
Zaza Pachulia	62	57	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.32	1	-2	3	16.5	16.6	-0.10	16.0	14.6	1.42
Jose Juan Barea	34	35	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.23	-3	2	-5	16.7	16.4	0.36	15.6	15.5	0.11
Devin Harris	38	37	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-10	9	-19	16.4	16.6	-0.20	14.8	16.0	-1.14
Wesley Matthews	73	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.42	1	-2	3	17.1	14.2	2.89	15.6	15.3	0.20
Raymond Felton	42	42	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.22	-6	5	-11	16.9	16.2	0.69	15.7	15.3	0.40

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
O.J. Mayo	65	65	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.36	10	-9	19	15.6	15.1	0.52	16.0	17.8	-1.80
John Henson	35	36	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.32	8	-7	15	16.7	14.7	2.04	16.8	16.3	0.53
Michael Carter-Williams	76	79	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.47	-2	3	-5	15.7	14.3	1.40	16.6	15.4	1.23
Giannis Antetokounmpo	63	64	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.43	-1	2	-3	14.7	17.5	-2.82	17.3	14.6	2.64
Khris Middleton	71	73	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.45	-2	3	-5	15.5	15.7	-0.20	17.1	14.1	3.03
Rashad Vaughn	29	27	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	-1	3	15.0	15.8	-0.80	14.1	17.5	-3.32
Jabari Parker	52	56	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.11	-3	4	-7	16.4	14.3	2.11	16.3	16.8	-0.47
Greg Monroe	54	55	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.15	-7	8	-15	14.7	16.7	-2.04	16.3	16.8	-0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.8,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.9,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.8,0.75,0.71,0.43,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 89, MEM 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.67,0.78,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.8,0.64,0.45,0.53,1	92.1%
BOS 74, PHI 77	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.77,0.76,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.33,0.73,1	91.9%
BKN 118, HOU 122	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.81,0.76,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.93,0.87,0.81,0.71,0.32,0.85,1	91.5%